Tuesdays trend…The data drop: 03.23.21

The data that come in on Tuesdays (and Wednesdays) are usually the lowest numbers for the week. Hence, it was expected that the Health Agency announced fewer cases today compared to the past days. I will caution everyone to be careful in interpreting data on Tuesdays because they usually represent tests done 2-3 days back (most likely Sunday) where some testing facilities may not be operational OR that people do not see a physician on the weekend to get checked when they have signs and symptoms and usually wait it out until the first day of the week – Monday.

With a national positivity rate of more than 15 percent today, this implies that for every 10,000 individuals tested, 1,500 will likely test positive. But certain areas have higher positivity rates. The NCR for example has a positivity rate of 20 percent. If the NCR runs 25,000 tests daily, then that would mean 5,000 new cases in this region alone.

The Health Agency announces 5,867 new cases for March 23, 2021. Note the encircled numbers. The number of active cases is up at 86,200 (12.7 percent) and the percent positivity for COVID testing is now 15.4 percent. There were 620 recoveries and 20 deaths reported by the DOH, a far cry from the new cases. Recoveries are just 10 percent of the total cases. As more cases than recoveries incur this week, it will be worrisome to see more than 100,000 active cases before the end of the week.

Today’s granular data showed NCR contributing to a glaring 61 percent (3,579 new cases) of the total cases in the country. CALABARZON accounted for 18 percent of the haul for the day. Other regions with triple digit reports were: Central Luzon, Central Visayas, and Cagayan Valley. Notice that the “unidentified” are back with 51 new cases from no known region.

In the NCR, Quezon City continue to harvest the most number of cases with 731 (20.4 percent) of the total cases in Mega Manila. Manila had 489. Caloocan with 336. Pasay City 294, Taguig 271, Parañaque 252, and Makati 213. Malabon, Pasig, Mandaluyong, and Las Piñas had more than 100 cases. There were 11 cases with unknown LGUs.

Sixteen of 17 LGUs in the National Capital Region were among the top 20 cities with most cases today. The remaining four cities were: 3 from Cavite and 1 from Rizal. The whole NCR + bubble (as the government describes it) has become the epicenter of the nation.

On a provincial level, the provinces of Cavite, Bulacan and Rizal had more than 300 cases. Batangas, Cebu and Laguna posted more than 150 cases.

One thought on “Tuesdays trend…The data drop: 03.23.21

  1. Luis Abola March 23, 2021 / 5:17 pm

    What is funny is that the report had the % of the new positives but not the actual number


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