The holiday is over and we’re back to the real count with 8,773 new cases for 03.25.21

The Tuesday and Wednesday trough is over.

The Health Agency reports 8,773 new cases and 56 new deaths today. With a new high in both new cases and positivity rate of 16.1 percent, we are projected to head towards the 9,000-10,000 level this weekend. The large haul today brings the total active cases in the Philippines, a few cases short of 100,000 (14.4 percent).

Apart from the startling high numbers is the hospital occupancy rate in the National Capital Region where the ICU beds are now more than the critical levels, rising an additional 3 percent from yesterday’s 71 percent. The isolation beds are also up at 62 percent (from 59 percent yesterday) with the rising cases in the capital.

The National Capital Region reported close to 5000 cases today as the pandemic rages on (56 percent of the total). CALABARZON owned 16.7 percent of the total and Central Luzon 9.3 percent. These three regions alone accounted for 82 percent of todays cases or 7,181 new cases. Other regions with triple digits were: Cagayan Valley, Central Visayas, Western Visayas and CAR. There were 68 cases with no known location on a regional level.

In the NCR, Quezon City continued to have the most total number of cases with 856 new cases (17.5 percent). Manila was in second with 818, Caloocan with 460, and Pasig with 354. The cities of Pasay, Makati, Parañaque, Malabon, Mandaluyong and Taguig had more than 200 but less than 300 cases. The cities of Marikina, Valenzuela, San Juan, Muntinlupa and Las Piñas had more than 100 but less than 200 cases. Navotas and Pateros that usually see single digits had 65 and 76 cases, respectively.

Fifteen of 17 LGUs in the NCR were in the top twenty cities with most cases.

On a provincial level, Cavite has overtaken Bulacan for the top spot. Nine of the top ten provinces were triple digits. Today, only 3 of the 81 provinces in the country had no reported case. They were: Marinduque, Dinagat Islands, and Davao Occidental. Batanes had one new Covid19 case.

Update from the OCTA Research Monitoring for March 25, 2021 shows a slight decline in Rt for the NCR at 1.91. But this is not a cause for celebration, and it is unknown if this can be attributable to the recent stricter regulations of the IATF on mobility outside of the so-called “NCR plus bubble”. Note that the positivity rate in the National Capital Region was 18 percent (higher than the national average of 15 percent) over the past week.

Philippine COVID-19 Update, OCTA Research Monitoring, March 25, 2021

In the same report for today, the following are the top barangays in the country with the most number of COVID-19 cases covering the period March 18-24. Only 4 barangays are located in Rizal. The rest in the top 50 are from the National Capital Region with Fort Bonifacio in the lead. Note here that several of the Barangay are from middle to higher income class areas.

The current most common sources of infection based on history of exposure are: travel outside of the NCR, in-dining, festivities (weddings, baptisms, birthdays, parties and celebrations of more than 10 pax), visitors outside of the family bubble and gyms.

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