The week in review for May 9-15, 2022 and the data for 05.16.2022

The week of May May 9-15, 2022 saw 1,118 new cases or practically no movement from the previous week (May 2-8, 2022). The 7-day average was at 160 cases/day this week or only 0.3% lower compared to the previous week. There were 16 deaths added to this week (compared to 42 the previous week) and 14 cases this week that were classified as severe or critical (same as the previous week.).

Hospital bed utilization was up at 17.5% for non-ICU bed (vs. 15.7% the previous week), and down at 15.6% (vs 16.8% the previous week). Severe and critical admissions are also down at 588 (compared to 611 the week before).

Vaccination rate is slow this this past week (considering that it covered the election period), which saw only an additional 227,272 additional fully vaccinated individuals and a little less than 166,000 people who received additional booster doses.

The Health Agency announces 160 new cases and 3 added deaths today, May 16, 2022.

The NCR owned 63 (or close to 40%) of today’s cases led by Quezon City with 15 cases. All other LGUs in Mega Manila had single digit numbers and 7 LGUs had zero covid. The latter were: Valenzuela, Mandaluyong, Marikina, Malabon, Navotas, San Juan and Pateros.

Outside of NCR, no province reported double digits today.

Taiwan is the new epicenter in East Asian

The DoH announced 210 new cases, and no added deaths for 05.15.2022. Of the 210 cases, 86 (or 41%) were from NCR.

Three LGUs in NCR reported double digits. They were: Manila 16, and Quezon City and Pasig with 10 apiece. Navotas was the lone LGU that had zero covid.

Outside of NCR, two provinces had double digits. These were: Cavite with 13 and Bulacan, also with 13 cases.

7-day positivity rate remained at 1.1%.

THE WEEK IN REVIEW

The Philippines continued to see a decline in cases as its Rt drops from 0.98 to 0.82 (+/- 0.05) as of 3 days ago. Note that the lowest 7-day average of cases the PH saw was 82 new daily cases on December 24, 2021. This week, the PH closes at 151 average daily COVID19 cases. That’s around 1.32 cases per million population.

Compared to the East Asian countries in the region, Taiwan tops the 7-day average with close to 50,000 cases/day (and is likely to breach higher numbers as their Rt >2.0). Yesterday, Taiwan had close to 70,000 cases in a single day alone. While all other nations are seeing a continued decline in both the Rt and their daily COVID19 cases, it is Singapore that remains to see a slight upswing in number of cases as its Rt is at 1.22. The Philippines ranks third highest Rt in the region but because the Rt is at 0.82, we may see a slight decline in cases (or continue this very slow plateau) in the next week.

We would like to remind everyone that the Health Agency recently reported the presence of B2.12.1 in the country. Japan also reported the presence of B.4 and B.5 during their screening at the borders.

Get vaccinated (we cannot overemphasize that enough) and please maintain minimum health standards.

50% of today’s cases belong to NCR and the data for 05.14.2022

The Health Agency announces 175 new cases today – half of which belonged to the National Capital Region. There were no added deaths today.

Three LGUs in NCR reported double digits – Manila 17, Quezon City 16 and ParaƱaque 12. The rest were single digit with four LGUs reporting zero covid. The zero covid were: Valenzuela, Navotas, San Juan and Pateros.

Outside of NCR, only the province of Cavite reported double digits (12).

The 7-day average positivity rate is at 1.1%.

181 new cases, 3 added deaths on 05.13.2022

The Health Agency announces 181 new cases with 3 added deaths today, Friday the 13th. More than 43% of today’s cases are from the National Capital Region.

Of the 79 cases in NCR, two LGUs posted double digits – Quezon City 15 and Manila 14. Only one LGU had zero COVID19. This was Pateros.

All other provinces reported single digits today.

139 new cases and 13 deaths on 05.12.2022

The zero COVID19 deaths streak is broken today with the Health Agency reporting 13 deaths. There are 139 new cases added, with NCR owning 48 (35%) of the total.

No province or LGU including every LGU in the NCR reported double digits. All reported single digit numbers or zero covid. In NCR, six LGUs report zero COVID19 cases. They are: Valenzuela, Muntinlupa, Malabon, Navotas, San Juan, and Pateros.

Positivity rate for the 7-day average stands at 1.2%.

109 new cases and a week with no deaths and the data for 05.11.2022

The Health Agency announces 109 new cases and for the 7th day in a row had zero deaths. The NCR had 52 (48%) of the cases today.

In Mega Manila, only once LGU announced double digits – Makati City with 10 cases. While the rest had single digit numbers, six LGUs reported zero covid. They were: Valenzuela, Muntinlupa, Marikina, Malabon, Navotas and Pateros.

No province had double digits today.

The 7-day positivity rate is up at 1.2%. Note that the data for today is based on Monday, May 9 when the country held its national election. The numbers are expectedly low.

The low Tuesday with 127 cases and 1% positivity rate and the data for 05.10.2022

The Health Agency announces 127 new cases and for the 6th consecutive day, 0 deaths. The other good news is that the 7-day positivity rate drops to 1.0% (and hopefully stays that way or drops to <1.0%).

The NCR owned 41 (3%) of today’s numbers with only Quezon City reporting double digits with 11 cases. Five LGUs reported zero covid in Mega Manila. They were: Pasig, Valenzuela, Mandaluyong, Malabon and San Juan.

No province outside of NCR had double digit numbers today.

The week in review and the data for 05.09.2022

The official weekly report of the Health Agency announces 1,124 new cases for the week of May 2-8, 2022. That means a 20% decline in cases from the previous week as the 7-day average drops to 161 cases/day. While there are only 42 deaths reported (8 being recent), majority were backlogs. The bad news is that there were 14 severe and critical cases (1.33% of the new cases) this week.

Non ICU bed utilization drops from 16.3% the previous week to 15.4% this week (May 2-8). ICU Utilization is up from 16.1 to 16.8% with cases up from 456 to 474 this week. Severe and critical admissions are down to 611 from a previous of 723 the week prior.

Vaccination coverage is at 76.04% for fully vaccinated as more than 525,000 were added this week, while the A2 (senior citizen) coverage is up at 77.12%. There were 223,224 individuals that availed of a booster/additional dose the week of May 2-8, 2022.

The Health Agency announces 182 new cases and the fifth straight day of zero deaths from COVID19. NCR had 78 cases, accounting for 43% of today’s numbers.

One LGU in NCR posted double digits – City of Manila with 15 cases. All the rest are at single digits with three reporting zero covid. These three were: Valenzuela, Pateros and San Juan.

Outside of NCR, Cavite and Rizal were the only provinces with double digits. Cavite had 10, while Rizal had 14.

Positivity rate is at 1.1% for the start of the week.

Rt of PH is at 0.98 (+/- 0.05) and the data for 05.08.2022

The Health Agency announces 152 cases and 0 deaths (for the 4th consecutive day) with NCR accounting only for 29% of the total cases today.

Only Manila had double digits at 11, and while the rest had single digits, 5 LGUs reported zero covid. They were: Valenzuela, Malabon, San Juan, Pateros and Navotas.

Outside of NCR, the provinces with double digits were: Cavite 12, and Pampanga 14 (4 province, 11 Angeles City).

THE WEEK IN REVIEW

While the PH continued to show triple digit numbers in the upper 100s, we have reached the trough already as evident from the effective reproduction rate that rose from 0.9 to 0.98 this week. This means that the next few days, the daily COVID19 cases will play around the range of 150-250. Which isn’t really a good sign because we need to keep our eyes on the Rt. Any movement above 1.0 means that we are bound to see a steady rise (or jump) in COVID19 cases anytime soon.

The 7-day average as of May 7 stood at 176 new daily cases. Or around 1.62 cases per million population. But the reproduction rate is up at 0.98 (+/- 0.05), which means that there is no significant change in the numbers from the previous days. The good news is that the Health Agency has reported zero deaths for three consecutive days, bringing the 7-day average for deaths down to 14 newly announced deaths due to COVID19/day. (Note that deaths is a lagging parameter.*)

Compared to the other East Asian nations, it is Taiwan that is now seeing the brunt of the omicron surge. Unlike China which has a zero COVID tolerance policy, the vaccination success of Taiwan has limited their deaths and overwhelming health facilities in spite of the surge.

In terms of per capita (cases per million population), Taiwan now take the lead from South Korea with more than 1000 cases per million population.

We expect the cases in Taiwan to continue its upward trajectory in the next few weeks as their Rt remains very high. As a matter of fact, with the current numbers, Taiwan has now breached the 40,000 daily cases and is poised to have cases ranging from 60,000-90,000 this coming week.

Singapore is the only other country that has an Rt >1.0 and has plateaued at an average of 3000 new daily cases for the past week. The best performing country which will have the potential to see even lower cases are Indonesia, Vietnam and Malaysia in the coming week.

175 new cases and 0 deaths for the third day in a row on 05.07.2022

The Health Agency announces 175 new cases and for the third day in a row reports 0 deaths. NCR owned 45% (79) of the cases today.

Two LGUs in NCR continued to report double digits – City of Manila 19 and Quezon City 13. The rest report single digits and three LGUs had zero covid. Those with zero covid were: Muntinlupa, Malabon and Pateros.

Only one province reported double digits – Cavite with 13.

The 7-day positivity rate as of today stands at 1.2%.