The rise of the provinces with 6,833 new cases on 06.18.2021

Close to 7,000 new cases, with 5 laboratories not reporting today, with almost 44K tests on June 16 still had a positivity rate of 12.6%. The active cases continue to average around 60,000 cases daily. And the provinces continue to rake in the new cases.

There are 110 new deaths reported today putting the case fatality ratio for outcomes is steady at 1.82% ICU bed utilization is also up in the regions outside of the NCR. Note that this is the average, and includes other regions that are seeing lower cases.

CALABARZON takes back the lead from NCR with close to 1,000 cases. Except for BARMM, all other regions reported triple digit numbers. It was the Visayas that saw a horrible day with Western, Central and Eastern Visayas capping the top five regions from 3rd to 5th ranks.

Back in the NCR, it is not surprising that Quezon City continued to lead with triple digit cases. The good news is that four cities/municipality had only single digits – Malabon, San Juan, Navotas and Pateros. Six of 17 LGUs in NCR are among the top twenty cities with highest cases.

On a provincial level, Iloilo grabbed the lead followed by Laguna and Davao del Sur.

Overall LGUs showed Davao City continuing to lead among the top twenty cities in the country. Aside from Quezon City (which will most likely never be out of the top five cities with most cases), Cagayan de Oro, Zamboanga City and Iloilo City cap the top five.

The OCTA Research Monitoring for June 18, 2021 shows that among LGUs outside of NCR, Davao City is seeing an increase in new COVID-19 cases. Yesterday, June 17, the Health Agency data drop showed Davao City reporting 482 new cases, its highest ever since the pandemic began last year. This is an increase of 26% from the daily average of 184 new cases daily last June 4-10. The ICU rate is over 90%.

This phenomenon is not an isolated one among LGUs outside of NCR. Bacolod City, Iloilo City, Cagayan de Oro and Dumaguete are also among the top five cities with highest cases. Baguio City saw a 49% increase in cases. Polomok in South Cotabato had the highest increase in cases at 63% for the week of June 11-17. Dumaguete had the highest ADAR (average daily attack rate at 52.21 per 100,000 population) while Iloilo City had the highest Hospital Bed Utilization Rate (HBUR).

ICUR was highest for Koronadal and Bacoor (Cavite) at 100%. Those near or above 90% ICUR included Davao City, Iloilo City, Tagum, Batangas City, and Tuguegarao.

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