As typical of any Tuesday, there are 4,114 new cases announced by the Health Agency based on a little over 31,000 tests done on July 4, Sunday with a 10.5% positivity rate. While the active cases are slightly below 50,000, this data is erratic as the number of cases are still above 5,000 based on a 7 day average.
The total number of deaths reported today are 104. The case fatality ratio for outcomes is steady at 1.81%.
CALABARZON and Western Visayas led todays haul, with 12 ROF (returning overseas foreigners) added to the list of new cases. To date, 23,845 ROFs accounted for the over 1.44M total COVID-19 cases in the country. While they make up only 1.62% of the total cases in the country, the concern of their carrying variants of concern from their places of origin is significant.
In NCR, Quezon City continued to report triple digits while five LGUs stood out among the pack with single digit cases only – Valenzuela, Navotas, Marikina, Malabon and Pateros. Only 4 of 17 LGUs from Mega Manila were among the top 20 cities with most cases for the day.
Davao City continued to lead among LGUs, albeit with lower cases today than the previous days. Joining Davao City in the top five are: Quezon City, General Santos, Baguio City and Cebu City. Majority of the LGUs in the top 20 are from the Visayas and Mindanao.
The OCTA Research Monitoring update for July 6, 2021 shows that Davao City continued to lead among cases.
The research group now uses the risk levels of Covid Act Now, developed with Harvard Global Institute, Apple, Microsoft, Bloomberg and others.
The risk classification is color coded. Meaning if the code is green then it is classified as low risk, yellow as moderate, orange as high and red as very high risk for the indicator.
There are four indicators used: INFECTION, INCIDENCE, ICCUUR (hospital ICU utilization rate) and TESTING (7-day average of the test positivity rate).
This set of indicators was published on July 5 and is expounded below. Standardizing indicators is vital in measuring how we are doing as a nation. This translates also to regional, provincial or LGUs in the country. Standardizing with metrics that have endpoints and are measurable are subject to less bias as well. Utilization of standardized metrics also affords one to make sound decisions on creation of policies and exit plans for the government.
LGUs outside of the National Capital Region that are seeing higher cases are summarized below. Overall, the Philippines is at moderate risk considering these indicators. The table below is self-explanatory. For example, Davao City showed the highest infection rate (Rt = 1.23), positivity rate was highest for General Santos (34% or 1 of 3 tested would test positive), incidence highest in Iloilo City with a daily attack rate of 23.48 per 100,000 population, and Iloilo City also with the highest ICCUUR at 94%.
The LGUs outside of NCR that are considered overall high risk are: Davao City, Bacolod, Iloilo City, General Santos, Baguio City and Tagum.