The inconsistency in data and the data drop for 10.12.2021

The common question is – why is there so much inconsistency is the data that is being announced in the infographics? And you’d either really have to be a mind reader to try to understand what is being communicated with the information they provide because they won’t provide any explanation at all.

But it’s because there’s quite a number in the backlog. If you look at the tests done October 10, as the basis for the data released today, it is clear that only 34,175 tests were done with a positivity rate of 15.5% for that day. Note in the infographic that the Health Agency indicates “data for October 12 based on reports from October 10”. Mathematically that would come out to around 5,300 cases. The discrepancy in the 8,615 announced today and the 5,300 cases is most likely a backlog of 3,300 cases which have not been reconciled. While it is essential that every case unreported is counted as a new case, it would be informative if the DoH announce the actual count based on tests done and the amount of backlog cases included in the count.

With more than 25,000 recoveries today, the active cases have decreased to 82,228.

There are 236 new deaths announced today.

Health care utilization continued to decrease, making the new cases announced today more likely due to a backlog report.

So with the backlog reports coming in, NCR plus are back on the leader board in 1-2-3 order. NCR accounted for 22% of the total share, while NCR plus owned 48% of the total cases today.

This puts Cavite and Rizal back as top provinces with most cases for the day.

On an LGU level, 10 of 17 LGUs in NCR were among the top 20 cities/municipalities with most cases. The others in the list included Zamboanga City, Bacolod City, and Dasmariñas (Cavite) in the top ten.

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