Another 4-digits day and the data for 02.02.2022

The Health Agency reports 7661 new cases based on 40,453 tests done with a positivity rate of 24.6% (very high) on the last day of January 2022. With more recoveries (again) today, the active cases drop to 160,297 and almost 97% of these were asymptomatic or mild at the time they were tested.

Healthcare utilization rate is now low risk in general (both nationally and in the NCR).

There are 43 additional deaths today.

The NCR continued the haul today with 1999 or 26% of the total cases in country based on Jan 31 data. This can either be backlogs adding up or because this is data on a Sunday, only NCR will have more laboratories testing. Quezon City led with 450 cases followed by Manila with 309. All other LGUs in NCR had less than 200 cases with Makati 161, Pasig 158, Caloocan 108, Parañaque 105, Las Piñas 103, and Pasay City 103. The cities of Malabon, Marikina, Muntinlupa, Navotas, San Juan, Valenzuela and Taguig had two digits numbers while Pateros reported 7 cases.

Outside of NCR, only CALABARZON had four digits as well with 1079 cases. All other regions saw triple digits including Western Visayas with 909 cases and Davao Region with 507. Central Luzon had 747 reported cases today.

Tomorrow will most likely be a four digits day (unless there are a lot of backlogs that get reported) and because the data tomorrow will be from February 1, most likely the bulk will come from NCR again, where close to 50% of the laboratories in the country are found.

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While the NCR is actually seeing lower cases (again let me emphasize that the positivity rate is still high, which is reflected in the daily high positivity rate because the DoH only records those with positive RT-PCR tests), the situation in the Visayas is also looking better.

Prof. Guido David of the OCTA RESEARCH GROUP breaks down the numbers and the data in the Visayas. Note the declining growth rate in these HUCs (highly urbanized cities), with certain areas seeing better parameters of decline such as Ormoc where the ADAR is now moderate, Tacloban where the reproduction rate is at 0.72, Lapu Lapu City where the healthcare utilization rate is low (<50%). The flip side is that the positivity rate in these areas is very high (>20%).

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