East Asia in review and 4621 new cases in PH for 08.07.2022

The Health Agency announces 4621 new cases, 18.7% positivity rate (which has been stable at this level for the past 3 days) and 18 added deaths today. NCR continued to see rising numbers with 1530 of the day’s cases.

Provinces with triple digits were: Cavite 289, Laguna 264, Rizal 174, Batangas 109, Bulacan 130, Pampanga 137, Iloilo 165, Cebu 152, Davao del Sur 118, Pangasinan 141. Other provinces and HUCs with double digits were: Quezon Province 69, Bataan 67, Nueva Ecija 84, Tarlac 81, Zambales 31, Negros Occidental 38, Aklan 17, Cadiz 33, Antique 33, Negros Oriental 22, Bohol 16, Cagayan Province 26, Isabela 48, Davao del Norte 14, Davao de Oro 27, Ilocos Norte 29, Ilocos Sur 27, Baguio City 79, Benguet 37, Kalinga 28, Ifugao 18, Mountain Province 16, Bukidnon 22, Cagayan de Oro City 19, Misamis Oriental 20, Misamis Occidental 24, Iligan City 11, South Cotabato 11, North Cotabato 19, Sarangani 10, Camarines Sur 11, Albay 27, Naga City 24, Masbate 12, Zamboanga del Sur 49, Zamboanga del Norte 14, Zamboanga Sibugay 10, Leyte 19, Tacloban City 10, Agusan Del Sur 28, Butuan City 20, Surigao del Sur 17, Surigao del Norte 11, Oriental Mindoro 23, Marinduque 16.

The National Capital Region was led by two LGUs with more than 200 cases – Quezon City 287 and Taguig 202. Other LGUs with triple digits were: Manila 157, Makati 142, Pasig 127, Parañaque 121, Las Piñas 103. Double digit LGUs in NCR were: Mandaluyong 86, Muntinlupa 65, Pasay City 55, Caloocan 53, Marikina 43, Valenzuela 36, San Juan 26 and Malabon 12.

In the meantime, Prof. Guido David tracks the positivity rate in the National Capital Region, which shows no sign of slowing down and is now at 17.4%.

THE WEEK IN REVIEW

East Asia continued to see rising cases this week, with South Korea, Japan, Brunei and Singapore reporting quadruple digits per capita (per million population). Based on actual numbers, Japan now averages close to 220,000 new daily COVID cases (this in spite of the border closure and restriction to tourism in the country). South Korea on the other hand is experiencing another upswing in cases with numbers almost 100,000 per day. Vietnam had an unusually increase in spike in cases over a single day report, but the data out of Vietnam varied tremendously with the state media reporting anywhere from 1500 – 9500 cases for the SAME day. The accuracy in reporting of the data is disturbing. This report today is based on data culled from https://ourworldindata.org/coronavirus#explore-the-global-situation.

All countries in East Asia are seeing rising numbers, driven by BA.5 and BA.4, with spotty reports of BA.2.75 and BA.2.12.1.

Effective reproduction numbers are above 1.0 in most countries (including the Philippines with Rt ~ 1.2 (+/- 0.05) except for Thailand, Singapore and Taiwan. Nevertheless, these three countries have effective reproduction rate that is close to 1.0 (0.95, 0.92, 0.90, respectively) which points to a more or less flat movement of cases. Like many countries globally, numbers may be artificial depending on the testing and reporting capacity of the these countries.

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