The week that was and >1.01M cases on 05.09.2021

With today’s 7,174 new cases, the Philippines is averaging (based on 7-day moving average) less than 7,000 cases/day. This is good, considering that the positivity rate for May 7 (reported May 9) is lower at less than 14%. This pushes the Philippines now to more than 1.1 million COVID-19 cases.

The downside for today’s numbers are the rising deaths, with 204 new deaths today. The case fatality ratio based on outcomes (recoveries and deaths) is at 1.77 percent.

While NCR continued to lead on a regional level, it now accounts for less than 28% of the total cases in the country. CALABARZON is seeing increasing share of the total cases. Eleven of the regions report triple digits, including Zamboanga Peninsula which is seeing a marked rise in cases.

Among the cities in the NCR, Quezon City continued to lead with 459 cases or 23% of the cases for Mega Manila. Seven other cities reported triple digits. Twelve of the LGUs in the NCR were among the top twenty cities with most cases for the day.

Zamboanga City was number 2 overall among the top cities with the most cases for the day.

While Cavite continued to lead among provinces on a provincial level, Isabela and Zamboanga del Sur came in second and third, respectively.

The week in summary shows the decline in cases in the country. However, note the sudden increase in number of deaths.

Notice that while testing has more or less increased, it has also been very erratic. If we can constantly test regularly, the achievement lower positivity would most likely be faster. On the right side of the graph below, notice that the positivity rate is on the decrease.

While we know the problem India is currently going through, they are not alone. And neither is the Philippines. Several countries in Asia are trying to address second, and even third surges. Notice the graph below where Nepal is following the same trajectory as India, aside from sharing a border with India. Malaysia, Japan, Thailand, Maldives are noticeably seeing an increase in cases. The driving force? Variants and porous borders.

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