As our Asian neighbors see a rise in cases, how are we doing? On 07.14.2021

Because it is a Wednesday, we are a few cases more than the Tuesdays.

The Health Agency announces 3,806 new cases based on close to 32,000 tests done on July 12 with a positivity rate of 11%, still high by any standard. In the NCR, the positivity rate is at 6%, but the national positivity rate is being pulled up because of other provinces and regions.

With more recoveries than new cases, the number of active cases is down to less than 45,000.

New deaths announced today is 140, placing the case fatality ratio for outcomes steady at 1.82%. With a 7-day average of 5,000/day, will we reach the 1.5M milestone by the weekend?

Suddenly Central Visayas has a significant drop in cases. NCR accounted for more than 14% of the total cases.

The daily data is not a true reflection of what is happening on a day to day basis as this reflects the testing and submission of tests within the region (or province or LGU).

Davao del Sur, Iloilo province and Cavite were the top contributors on a provincial level.

Davao City stayed on top with less cases among top twenty LGUs for the day.

And in NCR, Quezon City continued to lead. However, the cases in the NCR were in the double digit and single digit margin.

OCTA MONITORING REPORT

In yesterday’s blog, it was pointed out that in spite of the low number of cases (because it was a Tuesday), Central Visayas suddenly found itself in the top spot. Whether this is because of improved testing and contact tracing, some perspective should be taken with the increase of cases in this region.

To recapitulate yesterday’s data, Central Visayas was the top region, Cebu province was the top province and three cities in Cebu were in the top ten – Cebu City, Lapu Lapu City and Mandate City. These three cities accounted for close to 250 of the new cases in the province alone.

The OCTA report today shows the sudden increase in infection rate for Cebu City (Rt=1.49) and Lapu Lapu City (Rt=1.96). Mariveles is seeing the highest Rt at 2.26 (remember it was number 1 among LGUs a few days ago). In spite of the higher infection rates in Cebu, their ICU utilization rates remain relative low and positivity test is less than the national positivity rate of 11%. As the DOH-Region VII office notes a ‘third wave’, we continue to monitor closely the situation in Cebu and leave to the local government there on how to utilize the information provided here.

The full report below:

Elsewhere in the world, are our next door neighbors. Indonesia suddenly has the most cases in a day yesterday and passes other countries seeing higher cases like Spain and the UK. Not in the table below are the others who made it to the top twenty – Malaysia and Thailand. And as our neighboring ASEAN nations are experiencing the difficult surges, how do we treat our border entries for those coming from these countries?

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