Slight uptick in cases for 07.19.2021, but tomorrow is a Tuesday

The 7 day average remains at around 5000 new cases/day. This, as the Health Agency announces 5,651 new cases for more than 50,000 tests done on July 17 and 6 laboratories failing to submit data. Positivity rate is at 11%. And active cases remain above 47,000.

With 72 new deaths, the case fatality ratio on outcomes stands at 1.83%.

The fluctuation in daily data and plateauing at this average for the past 2 months is troubling because it means that whatever measures are being instituted now may not be enough to bring the actual number of cases down. With increasing mobility and the government opening up the economy quicker than the new cases cases being reported sends mixed signals. For the nth time, these cases reported daily are based only on PCR tests. They do not include patients who test positive for swab antigen OR patients who do not get tested at all.

The NCR saw almost 1,000 new cases as the Rt moves quickly up to 1.02 from a previous of 0.94. The daily average in NCR tips at more than 700 cases a day compared to the previous 600 plus cases. And while it is CALBARZON that now trails NCR, Western and Central Visayas are third and fourth, respectively.

Cebu province tops the provincial tally with Cebu City topping the LGUs nationally. Davao City continues its decline and is now in second spot.

Nine of 17 LGUs in NCR are back in the top 20 cities with most cases. Three cities in Cebu were among the top twenty cities with most cases as well.

OCTA MONITORING REPORT

The update for July 12-18, 2021 is shown in the table below. Those in dark orange are areas of high risk based on the 4 indicators – infection (Rt), incidence (ADAR), ICU utilization rate, and positivity tests.

They are: Davao City, Iloilo City, Bacolod, Makati, General Santos, Baguio City, Laoag, Santa Rosa, and Butuan.

Among all the LGUs, Cebu City still owns the highest case fatality ratio based on outcomes, followed by General Santos City, and Davao City.

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