The tipping number and the data for 08.16.2021

It’s the third straight day with more than 14,000 new cases reported in a single day. Are we plateauing? No.

Based on the 14,610 new cases, notice that the active cases have now ballooned to 106,672. This will take time for a greater number to recover. Of course, the most important question is – are they tracing the contacts for these active cases? The larger the active cases, the wider the contact tracing must be.

Tests on August 14 showed more than 58,000 done, with still a large 23% positivity rate. Largely pointing to the fact we are not testing enough for now.

Even ICU beds are up in the NCR and nationally, although the numbers announced by the Health Agency may not necessarily reflect the reality on the ground, as most, if not all hospitals in major LGUs being inundated in this surge are now at full capacity.

Only 27 new deaths were reported. While it is a low number, it may not reflect the real situation again as deaths are late reports requiring validation and reconciliation of data.

NCR logs in past 4,000 cases today with LGUs outside of Quezon City, Manila and Makati seeing doubling cases for many cities in Mega Manila. The smallest region in terms of land area accounted for 28% of the total cases in the country. CALABARZON and Central Luzon together with NCR was responsible for almost 2/3 of the cases today. And together with Central Visayas, that reported quadruple digits as well, all four regions contributed to more than 71% of today’s cases.

Cavite, Cebu province and Laguna reported quadruple digits today, with four provinces in CALABARZON making it to the top 10 provinces with most cases. They are: Cavite, Laguna, Rizal and Batangas.

While Quezon City still raked in the most number of cases on an LGU level, 11 of 17 LGUs from NCR were in the top 20 cities with most cases for the day. Two cities in Cavite, two in Laguna and two in Cebu are in the top twenty list.

OCTA MONITORING REPORT

The NCR COVID-19 update is provided in today’s report as Mega Manila sees a 7-day average rise in new cases to 3,262 from the period August 9-15. This is a 51% increase from the cases the week before. Arranged according to incidence rate or ADAR (average daily attack rate), twelve LGUs are in critical level. They are: Navotas, Makati, Pateros, San Juan, Pasay, Muntinlupa, Mandaluyong, Valenzuela, Parañaque, Malabon, Pasig and Las Piñas.

Bed capacity is 100% in Navotas, while ICU utilization is critical in Pateros, San Juan, Muntinlupa, Las Piñas, Taguig, and Marikina.

The full report in the update below.

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