The high positivity rate, lower new cases and the data of 09.10.2021

On a day when we expected higher numbers, the Health Agency reports close to 18,000 new cases today.

With over 76,000 tests done and a positive rate of 28.9%, it is without doubt that this surge is out of control as more and more patients who are symptomatic are getting tested. The active cases are now past 175,000 (8%) and we will cross 2.2 M mark within the weekend.

An additional 168 deaths were announced today, bringing the case fatality ratio to 1.73%.

The National Capital Region had 4,359 cases or 24.2% of the national total. Three other regions reported quadruple numbers – CALABARZON, Central Luzon and Davao Region. Note that while these are today’s reported numbers, the backlog of the Health Agency is relatively large and when the unreported and unvalidated numbers come in, one should not be surprised at new record highs.

On a provincial level, Cavite maintains its lead with 1,482 cases reported today. The surprise of the day is the province of Bukidnon that joined the 10 provinces with most cases in the country.

Among the top LGUs, 12 of 17 LGUs in NCR were in the top 20. Davao City came in second rank with 615 cases. Four LGUs from CALABARZON joined the list, while Baguio City, Iloilo City and the city of Valencia (in Bukidnon) rounded up the rest.

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