Unusual Tuesday and the data of 09.14.2021

The usual Tuesday is 25-30% lesser than the 7-day average of cases. Since the 7-day average is now at 20,500, the usually ‘low’ Tuesdays would be around 15,000 new cases.

Not this Tuesday.

The Health Agency reports 18,056 new cases, as tests done last Sunday, September 12 pass the 50,000 mark (the highest number of tests on a Sunday). The positivity rate is also up at 29.7%. ICU rate in NCR is up at 79% (which I think is even higher considering that some hospitals may have beds but direly lack manpower at this point).

The total deaths reported today is 222, bringing the case fatality rate for outcomes to 1.70%.

Based on the 7 day average the past week, we add 100,000 new cases every 5 days. If the cases continue in this trajectory, we will be seeing a new record high this week.

The NCR had a more than higher median average cases today (27.5%). Four other regions reported four digits – CALABARZON, Central Luzon, Ilocos Region, and Cagayan Valley. NCR plus accounted for 55% of the total shares of cases today.

Cavite, Rizal and Laguna topped provinces with most cases today.

Thirteen of 17 LGUs in NCR were among the top 20 cities/municipalities with most cases for the day. Five LGUs in CALABARZON were in the top 20 list as well. There we six unknowns in the NCR reported today.

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