The OCTA COVID-19 update and the data for 11.18.2021

The Health Agency reported 1,297 new cases today, from the over 42,000 tests done last November 16 with a 3.4% positivity. Active cases are down to 23,158.

The number of moderate to critical cases are almost 40% of the active cases.

An additional 305 deaths were announced today.

The NCR contributed to lesser share for today’s cases – 17.8% – compared to the previous days where 22-25% of the daily numbers belonged to Mega Manila. Central Visayas and Western Visayas were second and third, respectively.

The ranking in the Visayas was primarily led by the provinces of Negros Oriental and Occidental, with Negros Occidental reporting triple digit cases.

On an LGU level, while Quezon City continued to lead, it reported only 39 cases today (or 17%) of the share for NCR followed by the City of Manila with 38. All LGUs nationwide had less than 40 new cases today. Nine of 17 LGUs in NCR were in the top 20, as the least number of cases in the list drops down to 10. The remaining 8 LGUs in NCR report single digit numbers today.

OCTA RESEARCH MONITORING REPORT

As more areas move into lower alert levels, here’s the rundown on the top 20 provinces with most cases in the country for the week of November 11-17, 2021.

NCR continued to lead other provinces (considering of course that it is the densest, most populous and tiniest land area in the country). All, and that means ALL, the top 20 provinces (including NCR) saw a negative one-week growth rate, with ADARs falling significantly as 6 provinces now are categorized as very low risk. Most of these provinces are in the CALABARZON region, with Rizal, Cavite and Laguna joining the very low risk category. The other provinces classified as very low risk include Bulacan, Davao del Sur, and Cebu.

Eight provinces are at low risk including NCR, while the remaining are at moderate risk.

Positivity testing is lowest in Cavite and Cebu at 1%. And remains critical in Negros Oriental, Isabela, Cagayan and Palawan. While the latter areas may have lower ADAR, the low testing output is concerning because not enough testing is being done in these provinces. The true picture of the condition in these areas cannot be extrapolated from the ADAR or healthcare system use alone.

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