7-day average <1500/day and the data for 11.20.2021

The Philippines is on track for the 1000-1500/day range of cases for the week as the Health Agency reports 1,474 new cases today. And with more recoveries, the active cases drops to 22,000. The data is based on more than 38,000 tests done last November 18 with a 3.2% positivity rate. The 7-day average is ~1,470 cases/day.

The share of moderate to critical cases is close to 40% of the active cases, which means that more than 8,000 of the active cases fall in this category.

Another 205 deaths were added today.

With late posts coming in, it was not surprising that Cagayan Valley overtook the NCR in new cases reported for the day with 25% of the total cases today. This means that one in four cases reported today was from Cagayan Valley.

This is reflected in the provincial listing where Isabela and Cagayan reported triple digits – 184 and 107, respectively.

On an LGU level (cities and municipalities), Marikina took the top stop in the country (and in Mega Manila) with 56 new cases (~20%). Seven of 17 LGUs in NCR were in the top 20 list as five LGUs in Isabela province joined the top 20 list. The city of Baguio is third in the list today.

There is no winter season in the Philippines, but as December draws near, the areas in the north have much colder temperature and is the hideaway for many Filipinos who want to experience the ‘winter’ feeling. The COVID-19 seasonal trend globally may be problematic for these areas in the Philippines in the coming holiday season.

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