NCR & Reg IVa positivity rates continue to decline and the data for 02.16.2022

The Health Agency announces 2671 new cases based on more than 25K tests done last February 14. However, this is the first time that the positivity rate tips below the 10% level with a 9.6% positivity rate today. With more recoveries than active cases, the active cases now drop to a little above 68K (with more than 93% being asymptomatic or mild). Of the new cases today, 98% occurred in the last two weeks, with NCR, CALABARZON and Central Luzon leading the regions with most cases.

There are 77 deaths added today. However, only 63% of today’s announced deaths occurred in January (16 or 21%) and February (32 or 42%). The remaining 37% were deaths that happened from May to December 2021.

The NCR had a spike in cases today jumping more than 100% from yesterday’s 301 cases to 632 cases today. Which meant that NCR owned 24% of the total cases today. Other regions with triple digits were: Ilocos (138), Central Luzon (289), CALABARZON (327), Western Visayas (270), Central Visayas (171), Zamboanga Peninsula (100), Davao Region (128), and SOCCSKARGEN (154). All other regions reported double digit numbers.

There were 24 ROFs that were positive today.

In the NCR, it was Quezon City that reported triple digits with 114 cases. This was followed by Manila 82, Makati 52, Taguig 50 and 56 UNKNOWN. All other LGUs reported less than 50 cases, with only 3 LGUs reporting single digit – Malabon 9, San Juan 8, and Pateros 3.

HUCs with high cases today were: Iloilo City 64, Davao City 48, Cebu City 30 and Baguio City 24.


Prof. Guido David (through OCTA Research) provides information on the positivity rates in NCR and all provinces in Region IVA (CALABARZON). As the numbers in both NCR and CALABARZON continue the decline, only Batangas remains in moderate risk because of the relatively higher Health Care Utilization Rate (36%) and a 10% positivity rate. The rest, however, are at low risk with the province of Quezon having an ADAR <1, Rt of 0.19, HCUR at 9% and positivity at 4%!

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