East Asia in review and the data for 07.17.2022

The Health Agency announces 2560 new cases with no added deaths and 11.8% positivity today. The NCR owned 38.6% of the cases (988).

The shift to the provinces is now more obvious as Cavite led with haul of 200 cases today. Other provinces with triple digits all came from CALABARZON, namely: Laguna 166, Rizal 139, and Batangas 103. Double digits for the provinces and HUCs outside of Mega Manila today were: Quezon Province 22, Bulacan 73, Pampanga 90, Bataan 33, Nueva Ecija 43, Tarlac 20, Zambales 11, Iloilo 98, Negros Occidental 33, Aklan 16, Cebu 80, Bohol 15, Cagayan Province 55, Isabela 12, Nueva Vizcaya 17, Davao City 46, Pangasinan 42, Baguio City 11, Benguet province 13, Cagayan de Oro City 18, Zamboanga City 12, Butuan City 14, Mindoro Oriental 14 and Marinduque 11.

In NCR, three LGUs reported triple digits with Quezon City leading with 197 cases, Makati had 118 and Manila 100. Those with double digits were: Pasig and Parañaque with 93 each, Taguig 83, Las Piñas 60, Mandaluyong 56, Pasay City 49, Muntinlupa 47, Caloocan 36, Marikina 29 and Valenzuela 10. No LGU in NCR had zero covid.

THE WEEK IN REVIEW

The rising global cases of COVID-19 fueled by the omicron sub variant BA.5 (and other sub variants in other parts of the world) is seen (and felt) in East Asia as the cases in this part of the world are seeing dramatic increase in infections. Data is to be interpreted WITH CAUTION as the number of reported cases are based on PCR in most countries and self-testing and self-reporting is not done in many nations, including the Philippines.

Using the effective reproduction number, if the rate is greater than 1, the infection is able to spread in the population. If it remains below 1, then the number of cases occurring will gradually decrease. That is why the Rt is an important indicator of infection control in pandemic. All countries, except Taiwan has Rt>1.0. This is led by South Korea and Japan. The Philippines has a reproduction number of 1.36 (+/- 0.05) as of July 13, 2022.

Japan is on its seventh surge as the number of cases now touch almost 100,000 a day, giving them a 7-day average of more than 73,000/day or 593/million population. South Korea and Taiwan come in second and third with more than 32,000 and 27,000 new daily cases, respectively.

Per capita, it is Brunei, Singapore and Taiwan that had quadruple digits per million population. The Philippines had 16/million population new cases as of July 15, 2022.

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