The Health Agency announces 2828 new cases with no added deaths and a positivity rate rising to 13.5% today. The NCR owned 35% of the total cases with 1,002 cases today.

Three LGUs in NCR reported triple digits with Quezon City leading the pack with 215 cases followed by Makati 117 and Manila 112. Ten LGUs had double digits: Parañaque 96, Pasig and Taguig with 87 each, Mandaluyong 53, Marikina 50, Las Piñas 48, Pasay City 39, Muntinlupa 30, Caloocan City 25 and Valenzuela City 17.

Outside of NCR, the province of Laguna led with 180 cases today. Other provinces reporting triple digits were: Cavite 167, Cebu 142, Rizal 128, Iloilo 116, and Batangas 107.

The following provinces and HUCs saw double digits: Quezon Province 50, Bulacan 74, Pampanga 97, Bataan 75, Nueva Ecija 32, Tarlac 28, Zambales 32, Negros Occidental 27, Aklan 13, Capiz 20, Antique 11, Mindoro Oriental 17, Negros Oriental 19, Bohol 12, Cagayan Province 46, Isabela 33, Nueva Vizcaya 19, Davao del Sur 30, Pangasinan 49, Ilocos Sur 11, Baguio City 50, Benguet 17, Cagayan de Oro City 17, General Santos City 10, Zamboanga City 19, Camarines Sur 11, Albay 17, Sorsogon 15 and Catanduanes 11.

The common denominator of the provinces with rising cases? The summer tourist destinations…

The Health Agency announces 2074 new cases with no added deaths today. The positivity rate, however, increased to 12.8% as the NCR accounts for 38% of the cases for the day.

The cases in the country were led by Cavite with 178 new cases followed by Quezon City 163, Laguna 143, and Manila 101.

Twelve LGUs in NCR had double digits: Makati 93, Pasig 66, Taguig 63, Parañaque 59, Pasay City 49, Las Piñas 44, Mandaluyong 41, Muntinlupa 32, Marikina 21, Caloocan City 20, Valenzuela 18, and San Juan 14. No LGU in NCR had zero covid.

Provinces and HUCs outside of Mega Manila with double digits were: Rizal 88, Iloilo 91, Cebu 90,, Batangas 73, Bulacan 73, Pampanga 72, Bataan 33, Tarlac 21, Zambales 16, Negros Occidental 26, Antique 11, Cagayan Province 11, Isabela 21, Davao del Sur 30, Pangasinan 38, Ilocos Norte 16, Baguio City 43, Cagayan de Oro City 12, Camarines Sur 10, Sorsogon 11, and Naga City 10.

The Health Agency announces 1841 new cases with no added deaths for the low Tuesday. However, the positivity rate is up at 11.9%, with NCR owning 39% (710) of the cases for the day.

Two LGUs in NCR reported triple digits: Quezon City 185 and Manila 101. Eleven had double digits: Makati 83, Pasig 53, Parañaque 47, La Piñas 46, Taguig 45, Pasay City 39, Muntinlupa 22, Marikina and Caloocan 19 each, San Juan 18, and Mandaluyong 16.

Outside of NCR, only Cavite had triple digits with 147 cases. The following provinces or HUCs had double digits: Laguna 97, Rizal 99, Batangas 69, Quezon Province 22, Bulacan 75, Pampanga 67, Bataan 38, Nueva Ecija 23, Zambales 15, Iloilo 92, Negros Occidental 19, Aklan 19, Antique 10, Cebu 51, Bohol 13, Cagayan Province 16, Davao del Sur 36, Pangasinan 53, Baguio City 16 and Butuan City 11.

We should be around the 2,000 mark again tomorrow.

The Health Agency announces that the total cases from July 11-17 totaled 14,640 (or an increase of 40% from the previous week of July 4-10 where 10,271 cases were logged). This puts us on a 7-day average of 2091 new daily cases.

Health care utilization is also up with non-ICU care at 23.8% (compared to 22.7% the previous week) and ICU utilization at 18.3% (versus 17% the previous week). Note that these numbers represent the whole country and will vary from region, province, and local government unit.

The severe and critical admissions are up at 589 or around 8.7% of total cases of the COVID19 admissions.

There is no official information from the Department of Health on their website. The latest data summary for the week of July 11-17 is from CNN Philippines.

Today, the Department of Health announces 2285 new cases with an 11.2% positivity and no added deaths. The NCR owned 911 of the cases.

It was the provinces (and HUCs) outside of NCR that owned more than 60% of the cases today with Cavite leading with 220 cases followed by Laguna 118 and Pampanga 109. The rest that had double digits were: Rizal 90, Batangas 90, Quezon Province 10, Bulacan 75, Batanes 24, Nueva Ecija 31, Tarlac 25, Iloilo 93, Negros Occidental 25, Aklan 10, Cebu 77 (Cebu City had 47), Cagayan Province 10, Isabela 14, Davao del Sur 37 (Davao City had 30), Pangasinan 87, Baguio City 30, Cagayan de Oro 11, and General Santos 12.

In Mega Manila, Quezon City led the pack with 232 cases followed by Makati with 123. Twelve LGUs had double digits: Manila 89, Pasig and Taguig 81 each, Parañaque 63, Pasay City 49, Las Piñas 38, Muntinlupa 37, Mandaluyong 35, Caloocan 25, Marikina 22, Valenzuela 14, and San Juan 11. Pateros was the lone LGU that reported zero covid in NCR today.

The positivity rate for major areas in the country are shown below (data from Prof. Guido David). While there is moderate growth in positivity rates in some areas including the National Capital Region, Aklan has the highest positivity rate today with close to 2 of every 5 individuals testing positive. Tarlac, Laguna, Nueva Ecija and Pampanga have also breached the 20% positivity rate.

The Health Agency announces 2560 new cases with no added deaths and 11.8% positivity today. The NCR owned 38.6% of the cases (988).

The shift to the provinces is now more obvious as Cavite led with haul of 200 cases today. Other provinces with triple digits all came from CALABARZON, namely: Laguna 166, Rizal 139, and Batangas 103. Double digits for the provinces and HUCs outside of Mega Manila today were: Quezon Province 22, Bulacan 73, Pampanga 90, Bataan 33, Nueva Ecija 43, Tarlac 20, Zambales 11, Iloilo 98, Negros Occidental 33, Aklan 16, Cebu 80, Bohol 15, Cagayan Province 55, Isabela 12, Nueva Vizcaya 17, Davao City 46, Pangasinan 42, Baguio City 11, Benguet province 13, Cagayan de Oro City 18, Zamboanga City 12, Butuan City 14, Mindoro Oriental 14 and Marinduque 11.

In NCR, three LGUs reported triple digits with Quezon City leading with 197 cases, Makati had 118 and Manila 100. Those with double digits were: Pasig and Parañaque with 93 each, Taguig 83, Las Piñas 60, Mandaluyong 56, Pasay City 49, Muntinlupa 47, Caloocan 36, Marikina 29 and Valenzuela 10. No LGU in NCR had zero covid.

THE WEEK IN REVIEW

The rising global cases of COVID-19 fueled by the omicron sub variant BA.5 (and other sub variants in other parts of the world) is seen (and felt) in East Asia as the cases in this part of the world are seeing dramatic increase in infections. Data is to be interpreted WITH CAUTION as the number of reported cases are based on PCR in most countries and self-testing and self-reporting is not done in many nations, including the Philippines.

Using the effective reproduction number, if the rate is greater than 1, the infection is able to spread in the population. If it remains below 1, then the number of cases occurring will gradually decrease. That is why the Rt is an important indicator of infection control in pandemic. All countries, except Taiwan has Rt>1.0. This is led by South Korea and Japan. The Philippines has a reproduction number of 1.36 (+/- 0.05) as of July 13, 2022.

Japan is on its seventh surge as the number of cases now touch almost 100,000 a day, giving them a 7-day average of more than 73,000/day or 593/million population. South Korea and Taiwan come in second and third with more than 32,000 and 27,000 new daily cases, respectively.

Per capita, it is Brunei, Singapore and Taiwan that had quadruple digits per million population. The Philippines had 16/million population new cases as of July 15, 2022.

The Health Agency announces 2578 new cases with no added deaths today and a tad rise in positivity to 11.8%. While there is an increasing number of cases in the country, the pattern over the last few days saw NCR owning less that 40% of the total share. Today, NCR accounted for 916 (35%) of the cases, which means that the case load has now spread to the provinces outside of Mega Manila and continues to rise there.

Outside of NCR, CALABARZON had four of its five provinces register triple digits with Cavite leading with 200 cases. Laguna followed with 174, Rizal 173 and Batangas 101. Quezon Province had 27 cases.

The province of Iloilo led Western Visayas with 161 cases followed by Negros Occidental with 38, Antique 16, Cadiz 10, Guimaras 8.

Central Visayas had Cebu with 77 cases, Negros Oriental 10, and Bohol 13.

Central Luzon had Pampanga leading with 96 cases, followed by Bulacan 77, Batangas 53, Tarlac 30, Nueva Ecija 21 and Zambales 10.

Other provinces and HUCs with double digits today were: Pangasinan 69, Baguio City 34, Davao City 48, Ilocos Norte 13, Benguet 10, Cagayan de Oro City 17, South Cotabato 13, Sorsogon 11, Leyte 13, Surigao del Sur 10, and Oriental Mindoro 11.

In the NCR, Quezon City led with 202 cases today followed by Manila with 113. Other LGUs with double digits were: Makati 95, Taguig 84, Pasig 77, Parañaque 70, Las Piñas 59, Mandaluyong 53, Marikina 40, Caloocan 31, Muntinlupa 29, Pasay City 21, and Valenzuela and San Juan with 17 each.

A summary on the trend and situation of NCR is provided below by OCTA Research Fellow, Prof. Guido David on the situation in the National Capital Region. Notice how the growth rate is slightly slowing down. And as cases in the NCR decelerate in growth, this means that with continued increasing cases nationally, the numbers have shifted to the provinces, where vaccination rates are mostly lower and healthcare is also less robust.

The Health Agency announces 2588 new cases today with no added deaths. The positivity rate continued to climb and is not at 11.5%. However, there is a shift in the balance of cases for the past three days where NCR accounted for only 38% of the day’s cases. CALABARZON accounted for 26% of the cases today with Cavite leading the haul in the whole country with 246 new cases.

Other provinces with triple digits were: Iloilo 166, Laguna 149, Rizal 145 and Batangas 113. Many provinces and HUCs saw high double digits and only a handful of provinces had zero covid. Those with double digits were: Quezon Province 21, Bulacan 83, Pampanga 51, Bataan 43, Nueva Ecija 42, Tarlac 30, Zambales 15, Negros Occidental 31, Aklan 13, Antique 11, Cebu (including city) 74, Bohol 12, Cagayan Valley 33 (including the City of Santiago that had 11 cases), Isabela 10, Davao City 23, Davao del Sur 10, Pangasinan 51, Ilocos Norte 13, Baguio City 30, Cagayan de Oro City 10 and Sorsogon 15.

In NCR, three LGUs continue to report triple digits: Quezon City 180, Makati 118, and Manila 112. Eleven had double digits but many LGUs are experiencing higher than usual number of cases. These include: Taguig 98, Pasig 79, Las Piñas 71, Parañaque 67, Mandaluyong 60, Muntinlupa 59, Pasay City 51, Caloocan City 27, Marikina 22, San Juan 16, and Valenzuela 11.

The Health Agency announces 2371 new cases and 1 added death as the 7-day positivity rate continued to rise and stands at 11.2% today. NCR owned 955 of today’s cases.

The province of Cavite led todays haul with 190 new cases followed by Iloilo with 140, Laguna with 135, Cebu with 114, and Rizal 101. The provinces and HUCs that reported double digits were: Batangas 99, Quezon Province 12, Bulacan 77, Pampanga 51, Bataan 25, Nueva Ecija 20, Tarlac 20, Zambales 10, Negros Occidental 17, Aklan 13, Antique 13, Negros Oriental 13, Bohol 15, Cagayan Valley 16, Isabela 10, Nueva Vizcaya 10, Davao City 41, Pangasinan 53, Ilocos Norte 11, Baguio City 40, Cagayan de Oro City 20, North Cotabato 11 and Mindoro Oriental 11. While other provinces reported single digits, many are seeing increasing cases.

In Mega Manila, three LGUs reported triple digits: Quezon City 170, Manila 119, and Makati 103. Ten other LGUs reported double digits: Taguig 90, Parañaque 83, Las Piñas 77, Pasay City and Pasig 69 cases apiece, Muntinlupa 52, Mandaluyong 40, Marikina 37, Caloocan 18 and San Juan 14.

The Health Agency announces 1604 new cases with no added deaths today. However, the positivity rate is up at 10.9% today. The NCR gets a reprieve as it accounted for only 637 (39.7%) of the cases today. That means that the cases outside of Mega Manila are growing.

The province of Iloilo led the daily haul with 131 cases, followed by the province of Laguna with 113.

Other provinces and HUCs (highly urbanized cities) that reported double digits were: Cavite 91, Rizal 61, Batangas 69, Quezon Province 13, Bulacan 52, Pampanga 61, Bataan 25, Nueva Ecija 24, Tarlac 31, Zambales 10, Negros Occidental 19, Aklan 12, Capiz 14, Antique 10, Cebu 25, Davao City 33, Pangasinan 25, and Sorsogon 10.

In NCR, Quezon City and Makati recorded triple digits with 112 and 110 cases respectively. Twelve other LGUs had double digits. They were: Manila 73, Pasig 52, Las Piñas 41, Taguig 37, Parañaque 33, Mandaluyong 31, Marikina 30, Muntinlupa 29, San Juan 19, Valenzuela 15 and Caloocan City 12. No LGU in NCR had zero covid.

The Health Agency announces 1363 new cases with no added deaths. However, the positivity rate now surpasses the 10% mark with the 7-day average at 10.2% today. The NCR owned 43.8% of the cases for the day.

While NCR led the pack on a regional level, it was the province of Cavite that led the pack with >10% of the cases today coming from there alone. Cavite had 147 new cases on the low Tuesday.

In NCR, only Quezon City had triple digits with 122 cases. Twelve other LGUs reported double digits: Manila and Makati 70 each, Parañaque 65, Pasig 51, Mandaluyong 40, Taguig 37, Muntinlupa 31, Pasay City and Las Piñas with 30 each, Caloocan City 17, Marikina 11, and San Juan 10.

Other provinces and HUCs (highly urbanized cities) with double digits were: Laguna 55, Batangas 57, Rizal 65, Quezon Province 13, Bulacan 66, Pampanga 26; Bataan, Nueva Ecija and Tarlac had 10 cases apiece.

Iloilo (including city) 67, Aklan 13, Cebu (including city) 56, Davao City 12, Pangasinan 20 and Baguio City 17.