East Asia in review and the data for 08.14.2022

The Health Agency announces 4182 new cases with 18.1% positivity (slightly lower from yesterday’s 18.4%). However, there were 44 deaths added today. NCR accounted for 31% of the cases for the day.

The provinces hauled in most of the cases today with Laguna accounting for 298 cases followed by Cavite with 270. Other triple digit contributors outside of NCR were: Rizal 157, Batangas 100, Bulacan 132, Cagayan Province 125, and Davao del Sur 118. Double digits came from: Quezon Province 58, Pampanga 92, Bataan 34, Nueva Ecija 83, Tarlac 92, Zambales 21, Iloilo 81, Negros Occidental 51, Aklan 14, Antique 28, Cebu 91, Negros Oriental 12, Bohol 17, Isabela 52, Nueva Vizcaya 21, Davao del Norte 27, Pangasinan 61, Ilocos Norte 26, Ilocos Sur 35, La Union 75, Baguio City 66, Benguet 43, Kalinga 24, Ifugao 34, Mountain Province 11, Bulidnon 30, Cagayan de Oro City 20, Misamis Occidental 11, South Cotabato 21, North Cotabato 14, Sarangani 10, Camarines Sur 29, Albay 40, Naga City 25, Sorsogon 11, Zamboanga del Norte 51, Leyte 13, Agusan del Sur 12, Butuan City 11, Surigao del Sur 15, Surigao del Norte 31, Sultan Kudarat 14 and Marinduque 13.

In NCR, four LGUs reported triple digits led by Quezon City with 263 cases, Parañaque 150, Makati 143, and Manila 142. There were 11 LGUs with double digits: Las Piñas 86 Pasig 81, Taguig 79, Pasay City 66, Mandaluyong 64, Muntinlupa 57, Caloocan 46, Marikina 45, Valenzuela 29, San Juan 16, and Malabon 13.

THE WEEK IN REVIEW

The cases in East Asia take front and center stage as Japan and South Korea drew higher cases this week compared to last week, with more than 200,000 and 100,000, respectively.

In this part of the world, the reproduction rates now ease to lower levels compared to the previous weeks – which may indirectly point to many countries reaching an inflection point of peaking. However, with BA.5, the peak may be a long and procrastinated one if the Rt remains at 1.0. It needs to drop significantly (<0.5) in order to see a significantly control because many cases are unreported, undetected and surveillance is not common practice in most of the countries in the region already. The Philippines has a lower effective Rt now at 1.11 (+/- 0.05). However, this number is the second highest in the region and tells us that the country will still continue to see increasing cases (albeit, smaller ones) for now.

Countries with declining Rt – Malaysia, Taiwan, Singapore and Vietnam – will continue to see a decline in their cases, while those with Rt of >1.0 will have unchanging numbers which can even go south (see an unpredictable increase) as mobility and economy take the front and center stage in the upcoming weeks.

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