East Asia in review and the data for 08.21.2022

The Health Agency announces 3643 new cases with 49 deaths added today. Positivity is slightly down at 16.2% while the NCR owned 1167 (32%) of the cases for the day.

The day’s cases was led by Cavite 264 and five other provinces with triple digits: Laguna 129, Rizal 124, Bulacan 144, Cebu 122, and Baguio City 109.

Provinces with double digits and more than 50 cases were: Batangas 60, Quezon 52, Pampanga 84, Iloilo 50, Cagayan Province 54, Isabela 71, Davao del Sur 90, Benguet 50 and Zamboanga del Sur 51. The provinces of Cmarines Sur 33, Agusan del Sur 29 and Palawan 33, reported unusually higher numbers.

In NCR, five LGUs reported triple digits, led by Quezon City 251, Manila 130, Makati 123, Taguig 121, and Parañaque 114. Provinces with double digits were: Pasig 86, Las Piñas 68, Pasay City 49, Muntinlupa 45, Mandaluyong 42, Caloocan 39, Valenzuela 31, Marikina 27, Malabon 19 and San Juan 16.

THE WEEK IN REVIEW

The Philippines has noted a slowing down in the number of cases this week as it has seemed to peak in numbers. Even the 7-day positivity rate is down to 16.4% (from the previous week of more than 18%). While the numbers may not be reflective of the actual numbers as only RT-PCR results are announced, the estimate in positive cases is around 10-18x the current number depending on the locality and testing capability (and availability of antigen test kits). Understandably, because of the mild presentation of Omicron sub variant, those in far flung provinces most likely do not test anymore (nor isolate for the prescribed period of time). This is one reason why this ‘mild’ wave is taking a bit longer to shake off.

The East Asian nations are seeing a slight slow down in cases,, except for Japan and South Korea. In terms of 7-day averages, Japan still have over 200,000 daily cases, while South Korea is in an upswing with close to 130,000 daily cases. Based on per capita (per million population), South Korea has the highest 7-day average at close to 2500 cases per million, while Japan is a far second with 1620 cases per million. Brunei has not provided any data in the last 2 days (as of this writing).

All East Asian nations report quadruple digits daily in the past week. However, only China is seeing a rise in the effective reproduction rate at 1.24. Japan and Indonesia are now lower at 1.06 and 1.01, while the rest of East Asian countries are at <1.0, including the Philippines which has an Rt of 0.99 (+/- 0.05). As long as the Philippines is able to sustain this for the next 4 weeks, hopefully we should see a declining trend into the “-ber” months.

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