The Health Agency announces 1554 new cases with a positivity rate at 14.2% and 32 added deaths. NCXR owned 37% of the day’s cases (but I have a feeling this under reported number will rise in the next few days as the positivity rate remains slightly high)

Quezon City continued to lead the haul with 140 cases, while 13 other LGUs reported lower double digits (because of the low Tuesday). They were: Pasig 69, Manila 52, Parañaque 43, Makati 41, Caloocan 36, Mandaluyong 31, Taguig 29, Las Piñas and Muntinlupa 34 each, Valenzuela 21, Marikina 19, Pasay City 17 and Malabon 12.

Provinces with triple digits today were Cavite 177 and Bulacan 109. Those with more than 50 but less than 100 cases were: Rizal 94, Laguna 64 and Davao del Sur 84 (with 33 from Davao City).

The Health Agency announces a decline of 10% cases for the week of October 3-9, 2022 compared to the week of September 26 – October 2. There were 14,333 cases for this past week or a 7-day average of 2,048 new daily cases. These numbers are still highly under reported as many antigen kits are unavailable in some drug stores (indirectly demonstrating that the slightly higher sales indicates higher utilization as well). There were 256 deaths for the past week with 29 of them occurring the past 2 weeks.

Healthcare utilization is slightly up for non-ICU beds at 27.2% (from 26.2% the past week) with ICU bed utilization unchanged at 24.3%. The severe and critical admissions are down from 753 to 669 for the past week.

There were 2106 new cases and 33 added deaths with positivity rate slightly lower at 13.7% to start off the Monday. NCR owned 837 of the cases for the day.

Quezon City continued to bring the haul with 191 cases. LGUs in NCR with double digits were: Manila 89, Tagging 73, Makati 66, Pasig 63, Caloocan 54, Pasay City 48, Las Pines 46, Paranaque 36, Valenzuela 35, Muntinlupa 34, Mandaluyong and Marikina 33 and San Juan 14.

Provinces with triple digits were: Cavite 168, Rizal 106, and Bulacan 101. Those with more than 50 but less than 100 cases were: Laguna 71, Pampanga 54, Iloilo 66, Cebu 62 and Davao del Sur 55. South Cotabato had 47 cases, while Sultan Kudarat had 16.

The Health Agency announces 2097 new cases with 34 added deaths and 15.6% positivity today. Of these, 790 cases were from NCR.

Quezon City continued to lead nationally with 194 cases with 13 LGUs in NCR announcing double digit figures. Manila 86, Makati 76, Pasig 55, Paranaque 55, Caloocan 49, Las Pines 47, Taguig 46, Valenzuela 37, Mandaluyong 34, Muntinlupa 32, Marikina 26, Pasay City 23, San Juan 10.

Provinces with triple digits were: Cavite 181 and Rizal 115. Those with more than 50 but less than 100 cases were: Laguna 62, Batangas 50, Bulacan 85, Iloilo 61, and Davao del Sur 88 (with 25 from Davao City).

Notably, some provinces in Mindanao are seeing an uptick in reports including: South Cotabato 31, Sultan Kudarat and General Santos 11 each, Sarangani 27 and Agusan del Sur 17.

THE WEEK IN REVIEW

Globally, Europe now comprises more than 50% of the world’s daily cases. In East Asia, Taiwan continued to see rising cases as the Rt remained above 1. Japan sees a dramatic drop in cases, not because there are less COVID cases see, but because in the way the reporting is done. The doctors are not mandated to fill up each and every report for all cases of COVID-19 any longer in the country. With the BA.5 and BA.4 and its sub variants dominating the globe in time for the winter season, some of the countries are notably seeing changing landscapes with many under testing, and simply living with the virus.

The Philippines averaged 2014 daily cases with a Rt of 1.16 (+/- 0.05), meaning that we are at a plateau and should expect to see a tad higher cases this week. Singapore’s numbers are up at more than 5250 daily cases and a Rt of 1.25.

The Health Agency announces 2197 new cases with 81 added deaths and a positivity rate of 15.7%. The NCR owned 987 (45%) of the cases.

The cases are highly under reported with a very high positivity rate. Quezon City had the most cases in the country with 221. Other LGUs in NCR with double digits were: Paranaque 99, Manila 94, Taguig 83, Makati 77, Pasig 74, Caloocan 54, Las Pines 51, Mandaluyong 48, Pasay City 36, Valenzuela and Muntinlupa 33 each, Marikina 26, Navotas 23, San Juan 15 and Malabon 10.

Provinces with triple digits were: Cavity 143, Rizal 123 and Bulacan. Those with more than 50 but less than 100 cases were: Laguna 71 and Davao del Sur 85 (Davao City contributing 28).

The Health Agency announces 2562 new cases with 15.4% positivity rate for the country and 38 added deaths today. NCR accounted for 46% of the day’s cases.

In NCR, Quezon City took the haul with 312 cases, while Manila came in second with 140 and Makati third with 117. Double digits came from Tagging 87, Paranaque 74, Pasig 63, Pasay City 62, Valenzuela 57, Marikina 53, Las Pinas 51, Mandaluyong 46, Muntinlupa 35, Pasay City 28, San Juan 20 and Malabon 16.

Outside NCR, Cavite had 182 cases followed by Laguna 118, Rizal 146 in CALABARZON. Bulacan had 182 cases. Those with more than 50 but less than 100 were: Iloilo 66, Davao del Sur 73 (with Davao City 37), Batangas 55 and Pampanga 66.

The Health Agency announces 1764 new cases with 33 added deaths and a 14.8% positivity rate. With declining tests being done by RT-PCR, the data does not point to much accuracy in the numbers are the cases are under reported. NCR owned 846 of these cases.

Quezon City led the haul with 192 cases. There were 13 LGUs with double digits. They were: Manila 91, Pasig 71, Makati 65, Pasay City 59, Marikina 58, Paranaque 57, Tagging 47, Caloocan 45, Las Pines 40, Manduluyong 35, Muntinlupa 29, Valenzuela 25 and Malabon 13.

Provinces outside NCR that recorded triple digits were: Cavity 130 and Rizal 116. Those with more than 50 but less than 100 cases included: Laguna 78, Bulacan 80 and Davao del Sur 61 (with Davao City reporting 24 cases).

The Health Agency announces 1347 new cases with 36 added deaths and a positivity of 14.4%. The NCR owned 41% of the total cases for the day.

Cavite province led today’s haul with 119 cases. Other provinces with more than 50 but less than 100 cases were: Bulacan 99, Rizal 75 and Laguna 56.

In NCR, Quezon City was the only triple digit LGU with 116 cases. Thirteen other LGUs had low double digits: Makati 60, Manila 58, Taguig and Caloocan 38 each, Pasig 36, Parañaque 35, Mandaluyong 32, Las Piñas 26, Valenzuela 23, Pasay City and Muntinlupa 18, Malabon 16 and Marikina 14.

The week of September 26 – October 2, 2022 saw a 10% decline in cases compared to September 19-25, 2022, with 16,017 new reported cases. This put the 7-day average to 2,288 new daily cases. There were only 4 severe/critical cases the last week with 228 added deaths.

Healthcare utilization was lower for non ICU beds at 26.2% versus 27.8% the previous week, but ICU bed utilization was up at 24.3% from 22.9% the previous week. Number of severe and critical admissions declined a bit from 790 the week previous to 753 the past week.

Today, the DoH announces 1967 new cases with 14.1% positivity (with testing at a low 11,418 individuals on October 2, 2022) and 29 added deaths. NCR owned 869 (44%) of the day’s cases.

Quezon City led the NCR with 189 cases. Fourteen other LGUs reported double digits: Manila 80, Pasig 73, Makati 66, Taguig 65, Parañaque 54, Valenzuela 52, Caloocan 51, Las Piñas 46, Muntinlupa 40, Marikina 38, Mandaluyong 37, Pasay City 35, Malabon 16, and San Juan 12.

Outside NCR, Cavite led the haul with 169 cases and Rizal with 112. Only three provinces had more than 50 but less than 100 cases: Bulacan 93, Laguna 86 and Davao del Sur 54.

The Health Agency announces 2117 new cases today, with 32 added deaths and 15.1% positivity. The NCR owned 908 (43%) of the cases for the day.

Cases in NCR were led by QC with 226. Fifteen other LGUs reported double digits: Manila 99, Pasig 89, Taguig 63, Parañaque 58, Makati 57, Caloocan 53, Valenzuela 43, Las Piñas 41, Mandaluyong and Marikina 36 each, Pasay City 31, Muntinlupa 28, San Juan 15, Malabon 12, and Navotas 10.

Provinces outside NCR with triple digits were: Cavite 146, Rizal 124, Laguna 104 and Bulacan 120. Only one province had more than 50 but less than 100 cases – Davao del Sur with 89 (32 coming from Davao City).

THE WEEK IN REVIEW

Global cases continued its decline as the average cases over the past week hovered around 420,000. This was slightly higher than the 300,000 average cases same time in October 2020, but lower than the 450,000 average cases in October 2021.

Global deaths continued its all time low with a 7-day average of 1100 deaths/day. Same month in 2020, the 7-day average was around 5100 daily deaths and close to 7000 daily deaths same time in October 2021.

The cases in Asia are starting to ease. Yesterday (October 01), there were 289,681 reported cases globally. Asia contributed to 43.5% of the day’s cases while Europe is posting more cases with 48.5% of the share – being driven by France, Russia, Italy, Austria and Czechia.

We all know that the world is under testing as the reports from many countries are based on PCR tests alone. The Philippines is NOT unique in the under testing capacity as antigen tests are being utilized more frequently in the diagnosis and screening of COVID-19.

Cases in most countries have begun to decline with some hovering the same average as the previous week. Based on per capita (per million population), Taiwan remains the only country with 4 digits while most of the East Asian nations report lower cases – per capita and as daily new confirmed cases.

In the region, reproduction numbers are stable with Japan and Thailand seeing a large drop in cases as Rt <0.5.

The Health Agency announces 3822 new cases with 15.2% positivity and 34 additional deaths. Positivity rate in NCR is up at 19% with 1692 cases (44% of the total) today.

NCR, Central Luzon and CALABARZON accounted for 74% of today’s cases.

The DoH actually had only 18202 individuals tested on September 30, which means that to have 3822 new cases today would be at a positivity rate past 20% for the whole country. And that won’t make sense because the positivity rate dips down a bit to 15.2%. The only way to make heads or tails with the numbers is that a large chunk of the cases reported today are delayed reports.

NCR had all 17 LGUs with double or triple digits. The triple digit haulers were led by Quezon City with 382 cases. Others in the triple digit category were: Manila 160, Pasig 157, Makati 133, Taguig 117, Parañaque 116, and Caloocan 107. Double digit numbers came from: Las Piñas 91, Marikina 77, Mandaluyong 76, Pasay City 61, Navotas 60, Valenzuela 53, Muntinlupa 37, San Juan 26, Malabon 19 and Pateros 12.

Outside NCR, triple digits came from the following provinces: Cavite 259, Rizal 242, Bulacan 181, Davao del Sur 161 (with Davao City reporting 58), Laguna 148, and Batangas 118. Provinces with more than 50 but less than 100 cases were: Pampanga 51, Iloilo 54, Cebu 59 and South Cotabato 83.