3126 new cases and 46 deaths on 08.25.2022

The Health Agency announces 3126 new cases with 46 added deaths and a positivity rate of 14.3% today. The NCR owned 28.4% (887) of the day’s cases.

In NCR, only Quezon City reported triple digits at 202. Thirteen LGUs reported double digits: Manila 93, Parañaque 91, Pasig 75, Makati 73, Las Piñas 62, Taguig 59, Mandaluyong and Marikina 37 each, Pasay City 36, Caloocan 35, Muntinlupa 34, Valenzuela 25 and San Juan 14.

Outside of NCR, Laguna led the pack with 135 cases followed by Cavite 130, Davao del Sur 125, Bulacan 105 and Rizal 102.

Provinces and HUCs with more than 50 cases today were: Batangas 67, Pampanga 59, Nueva Ecija 65, Tarlac 70, Iloilo 77, Negros Occidental 66, Cebu 97, Isabela 52, Baguio City 55 and Zamboanga del Sur 56.

3580 new cases and 50 added deaths on 08.24.2022

Cases today were 100% higher than yesterday as the Health Agency announces 3580 new cases. It was also the highest number of deaths since May 2022, where 50 deaths were announced today. Positivity rate is at 14.2% (up 0.4% from yesterday). Today’s numbers is an unusual jump from the past Wednesdays following the low Tuesday data.

Today’s cases were led by Quezon City that reported 281 cases. Three other LGUs with triple digits were: Manila 158, Makati 119, Parañaque 103. Double digits came from 11 other LGUs: Taguig 87, Pasig 76, Las Piñas 60, Pasay City 59, Mandaluyong 50, Caloocan 48, Muntinlupa 47, Marikina 42, Valenzuela 35, San Juan 16 and Malabon 14.

Outside of NCR, six Provinces reported triple digits. They were: Cavite 180, Laguna 139, Rizal 130, Davao del Sur 119, Bulacan 113 and Cebu 106.

The provinces and HUCs with more than 50 cases but less than 100 were: Iloilo 98, Batangas 93, Cagayan de Oro City 73, Negros Occidental 70, Pampanga 63, Nueva Ecija 61, Pangasinan 57, Baguio City 55, Cagayan Province 53 and Isabela 52.

We reiterate that these daily new cases are from RT-PCR results only and do not include those that test positive on rapid antigen.

The low Tuesday and the data for 08.23.2022

The Health Agency announces 1735 new cases with 40 added deaths and a positivity rate of 13.8% today. This is one of the lowest cases we have had since mid-July when we averaged 1600++ cases. The NCR owned 528 (30%) of the cases for the day.

Only Quezon City reported triple digits with 124 cases. Twelve LGUs reported double digits: Manila 85, Makati 58, Pasay City 42, Parañaque 37, Taguig 35, Pasig 29, Las Piñas 24, Mandaluyong 22, Caloocan 16, Muntinlupa 15, Marikina 12, and Valenzuela 11.

None of the provinces or HUCs outside of NCR reported triple digits today. Those that reported more than 50 cases were: Cavite 98, Laguna 54, Rizal 62, Bulacan 73, Pampanga 57, Davao del Sur 60 and Cebu 60.

The week in review and the data for 08.22.2022

From the period August 15-21, 2022, the DoH reported 23,883 new COVID-19 cases (based on PCR results) or a 15% decline in cases compared to the week of August 8-14 where the country had 28,008 cases for that week. This means that the 7-day average as of yesterday, August 21, was at 3412 cases/day. There were 101 severe and critical cases (same as last week) but the deaths stood out at 321 added deaths for the week that was (90 or 28% of the deaths were ‘fresh’ or occurred within the last two weeks August 8-21, 2022). The deaths the past week was 40% higher than the previous week (where there were 229 deaths reported).

Healthcare utilization for non-ICU beds was at 30.2% (6677 of 22076 beds), down from 30.9% (6781 of 21968 beds) the previous week. ICU beds was also down to 27% (699 of 2586 beds) versus the previous week of 28% (719 of 2571 beds). There were 811 severe and critically ill admitted patients compared to 822 the previous week.

Note that there is a large under reporting of cases as only PCR tests are being counted. Many use antigen test kits (and do not use them correctly because they presume that when they test on day 1, and they test negative, they do not have COVID-19). Reminder to the public that there are limitations for antigen test kits. Antigen test kits are useful when they demonstrate positive results. Data shows that in the Omicron waves, positivity in antigen tests tended to be negative in the first 48 hours, especially among patients with mild symptoms.

The Health Agency announces 3077 new cases today, with 29 added deaths and the positivity rate is now reset and is at 13.9%. NCR, however, owned close to 40% of the cases today with 1168 cases.

Cases in NCR was led by four LGUs with triple digits: Quezon City 275, Manila 141, Pasig 109, and Makati 105. Double digits came from 11 other LGUs: Parañaque 87, Taguig 65, Las Piñas 60, Pasay City 59, Marikina 55, Mandaluyong 33, Valenzuela 49, Caloocan 36, Muntinlupa 34, San Juan 15 and Malabon 10.

Outside of NCR, only three provinces reported triple digits today – all from CALABARZON. They were: Cavite 177, Laguna 126 and Rizal 103.

Provinces/HUCs with more than 50 but less than 100 cases were: Cebu 94, Batangas 93, Bulacan 93, Cagayan Province 81, Iloilo 76, Isabela 64, Davao del Sur 63, Negros Occidental 57, and Nueva Vizcaya 50.

Three provinces had unusually higher numbers today: Agusan del Sur 22, Butuan City 20, and Surigao del Sur 24.

East Asia in review and the data for 08.21.2022

The Health Agency announces 3643 new cases with 49 deaths added today. Positivity is slightly down at 16.2% while the NCR owned 1167 (32%) of the cases for the day.

The day’s cases was led by Cavite 264 and five other provinces with triple digits: Laguna 129, Rizal 124, Bulacan 144, Cebu 122, and Baguio City 109.

Provinces with double digits and more than 50 cases were: Batangas 60, Quezon 52, Pampanga 84, Iloilo 50, Cagayan Province 54, Isabela 71, Davao del Sur 90, Benguet 50 and Zamboanga del Sur 51. The provinces of Cmarines Sur 33, Agusan del Sur 29 and Palawan 33, reported unusually higher numbers.

In NCR, five LGUs reported triple digits, led by Quezon City 251, Manila 130, Makati 123, Taguig 121, and Parañaque 114. Provinces with double digits were: Pasig 86, Las Piñas 68, Pasay City 49, Muntinlupa 45, Mandaluyong 42, Caloocan 39, Valenzuela 31, Marikina 27, Malabon 19 and San Juan 16.

THE WEEK IN REVIEW

The Philippines has noted a slowing down in the number of cases this week as it has seemed to peak in numbers. Even the 7-day positivity rate is down to 16.4% (from the previous week of more than 18%). While the numbers may not be reflective of the actual numbers as only RT-PCR results are announced, the estimate in positive cases is around 10-18x the current number depending on the locality and testing capability (and availability of antigen test kits). Understandably, because of the mild presentation of Omicron sub variant, those in far flung provinces most likely do not test anymore (nor isolate for the prescribed period of time). This is one reason why this ‘mild’ wave is taking a bit longer to shake off.

The East Asian nations are seeing a slight slow down in cases,, except for Japan and South Korea. In terms of 7-day averages, Japan still have over 200,000 daily cases, while South Korea is in an upswing with close to 130,000 daily cases. Based on per capita (per million population), South Korea has the highest 7-day average at close to 2500 cases per million, while Japan is a far second with 1620 cases per million. Brunei has not provided any data in the last 2 days (as of this writing).

All East Asian nations report quadruple digits daily in the past week. However, only China is seeing a rise in the effective reproduction rate at 1.24. Japan and Indonesia are now lower at 1.06 and 1.01, while the rest of East Asian countries are at <1.0, including the Philippines which has an Rt of 0.99 (+/- 0.05). As long as the Philippines is able to sustain this for the next 4 weeks, hopefully we should see a declining trend into the “-ber” months.

3715 new cases and 47 deaths on 08.20.2022

The Health Agency announces 3715 new cases with 16.4% positivity rate (7-day average) and another successive day of more than 40 deaths (47 today). The NCR owned 1185 of the day’s cases.

In NCR, four LGUs reported triple digits. This was led by Quezon City with 269 cases. Others were: Manila 145, Taguig 127 and Makati 119. Double digits came from 11 other LGUs: Pasig and Parañaque with 83 each, Las Piñas 60, Pasay City 59, Mandaluyong 54, Caloocan 49, Marikina 37, Muntinlupa 35, Valenzuela 28, San Juan 20, Malabon 11.

Provinces and HUCs outside of NCR with triple digits today were: Cavite 222, Laguna 188, Rizal 121, Bulacan 155, Iloilo 112, Cebu 124, Davao del Sur 126.

Double digits with more than 50 cases outside of NCR were: Batangas 81, Pampanga 97, Negros Occidental 71, Cagayan Province 88, Isabela 53, Baguio City 76.

Provinces with an uptrend in cases (and most likely under reported) were: Apayao 28 and Benguet 43.

3748 new cases and 40 added deaths on 08.19.2022

The Health Agency announces 3748 new cases (10 less than yesterday) and 40 added deaths (stubbornly the fourth straight day with more than 40 daily deaths) and 16.3% positivity rate (which hasn’t really moved and which may mean that we are now peaking). The NCR owned 1114 of the day’s cases (29.7%). This means that cases in the province are still rising and is more worrisome because there is less testing in the provinces and most likely a higher share of under reported cases as well.

In the NCR, 2 LGUs continued to report triple digits: Quezon City 265 and Manila 153. Thirteen LGUs reported double digits: Parañaque 98, Makati 93, Pasig 85, Muntinlupa 61, Mandaluyong 59, Las Piñas 57, Taguig 52, Marikina 42, Caloocan 36, Valenzuela 34, Pasay City 33, San Juan 19, and Malabon 13.

Outside of NCR, triple digit contributors were: Cavite 219, Laguna 207, Rizal 150 and Bulacan 119. The following provinces/HUCs reported 50 or more cases: Nueva Ecija 87, Iloilo 87, Bataan 78, Pampanga 84, Negros Occidental 67, Cebu 96, Cagayan Province 82, Isabela 64, Nueva Vizcaya 63, Davao del Sur 98, La Union 77, Pangasinan 57 and Zamboanga del Sur 68.

Areas outside of NCR that are seeing unusually higher numbers today were: Agusan del Sur 23, Surigao del Sur 32, Leyte 27, Camarines Norte 40, and Ilocos Norte 40.

Reminding the public to remain vigilant that while the numbers are peaking, these can go both ways – upwards or downtrend depending on the behavior of the public as classes open and the weather systems affect the public crowd capacity especially during disasters.

It is also a good reminder that when you have symptoms, isolate and test immediately.

3758 new cases and 48 added deaths on 08.18.2022

The Health Agency announces 3758 new cases with 48 added deaths and 16.3% positivity today. NCR owned 29.2% of the cases (1098).

Four LGUs in NCR reported triple digits: Quezon City 282, Manila 126, Taguig 114 and Parañaque 110. Double digits came from: Makati 94, Pasig 62, Las Piñas 54, Pasay City 50, Marikina 41, Muntinlupa 40, Valenzuela 36, Caloocan 33 and Mandaluyong 32.

Outside of NCR, the following provinces/HUCs reported triple digits: Cavite 198, Laguna 180, Cebu 147, Davao del Sur 144, Rizal 138, Bulacan 114, Pampanga 109, and Cagayan Province 105.

Double digits with more than 50 cases were: Batangas 77, Quezon Province 68, Iloilo 90, Zamboanga del Sur 64, Isabela 53, Pangasinan 54, and Baguio City 58. Other provinces had higher than their average daily numbers and continue to rise.

2892 new cases with 46 added deaths on 08.17.2022

The Health Agency announces 2892 new cases with 46 added deaths today. The 7-day positivity rate is at 16.1%. NCR owned 845 (29.2%) of the day’s cases.

In NCR, three LGUs reported triple digits led by Quezon City with 202, Manila 107 and Makati 103. Ten LGUs had double digits: Parañaque 75, Pasig 60, Taguig and Muntinlupa 45 each, Caloocan 41, Las Piñas 37, Pasay City 35, Mandaluyong 27, Valenzuela and Marikina 24 apiece.

Outside of NCR, the provinces of Cavite and Laguna reported triple digits with 145 cases each.

Provinces/HUCs that had double digits but > 50 cases were: Rizal 95, Batangas 70, Bulacan 94, Pampanga 63, Nueva Ecija 78, Tarlac 92, Iloilo 68, Negros Occidental 63, Cebu 87, Cagayan Province 52, Davao del Sur 88 and Baguio City 78.

Note that the numbers do not reflect the true numbers of COVID-19 in the country as these are based only on RT-PCR tests done and reported. In reality, it may be 10-20x higher in certain areas of the country.

The low Tuesday has 2633 new cases and 49 added deaths on 08.16.2022

The Health Agency announces 2633 new cases with 15.5% positivity rate (up 1% from yesterday) and 49 added deaths. The NCR accounted for 846 of these cases.

Two LGUs in NCR had triple digits: Quezon City 199 and Manila 121. Double digits were reported in 11 LGUs: Makati 80, Pasig 72, Taguig 69, Parañaque 63, Las Piñas 38, Caloocan and Mandaluyong 36 each, Pasay City 35, Marikina 32, Muntinlupa 22, Valenzuela 21.

Outside of NCR, four provinces had triple digits: Cavite 200, Bulacan 129, Cebu 120 and Laguna 110. Provinces/HUCs with double digits but had more than 50 cases were: Rizal 98, Batangas 62, Pampanga 74, Nueva Ecija 56, Cagayan Province 86, Isabela 58, Davao del Sur 71 and Zamboanga del Sur 67.