With daily cases at 10,000/day, deaths based on CFR are at > 200/day. The data for 04.12.2021

There is good news and there is bad.

Let’s start with the good. With a reproduction rate of 1.2, it means that the growth of cases has slowed down significantly. Slowing down does not mean declining cases. It means, that instead of multiplying to more than twice the number in the previous week, there will still be minor increases and seems to be headed to plateauing. The positivity rate has also declined from a week high of 25 percent to 19.5 percent today.

The bad news is that while the case fatality rate nationally is 1.73 percent, it is much higher in the National Capital Region at 2.1 percent. This finding is not unexpected. Note that the NCR + bubble, which is current riddled with an overload of critical patients is a reflection of what happens when the healthcare facilities are overwhelmed. Medical care is compromised, better healthcare access is limited, patient care is delayed, and patient outcome is poorer. The total number of deaths has passed the 15,000 mark.

The Health Agency reports 11,378 new cases but 204 new deaths. Healthcare facilities continue to be burdened with the rising cases. The active cases have continued to rise and is now almost 160,000.

Based on the yesterdays data from the Department of Health, the following top 5 regions account for close to 80 percent of the total cases of the Philippines. So far, these are the total cases based on regional breakdown with NCR, CALABARZON, Central Luzon, Central Visayas and Western Visayas having the most cases in the country.

Todays data drop showed that NCR, CALABARZON, and Central Luzon continue to bring the haul for the day with 76 percent of the total cases. Cagayan Valley, Western Visayas, CAR, Ilocos Region, Central Visayas and Bicol Region report triple digits. There were 67 cases with no known location on a regional level.

In the NCR, 15 of the 17 LGUs reported triple digits with Quezon City reporting 940 new cases. Manila and Pasig reported more than 600 but less than 700 cases. Thirteen of the 17 LGUs in Mega Manila were among the top 20 cities with most cases, with rank 1-12 all from NCR.

At a provincial level, Cavite, Bulacan, Rizal and Laguna report more than 500 cases today.

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