Blood bath Thursday. The Health Agency reported 6,483 new cases today (as expected because of the high positivity rate) based on 12.5% positivity for May 25 data with close to 50,000 cases. The new cases today was enough to breach the 1.2 million total cases mark as we now track the next hundred thousand target. With less recoveries than new cases, the number of active cases are up again at 4%.
Even the deaths were not spared the sad news, with 210 new deaths today. The case fatality ratio is now up at 1.77% from a previous of 1.76%. ICU occupancy is still higher on the national level compared to the NCR. The OCTA Research provides a summary of information on the state of the various cities outside of NCR, which explains why the positivity rate of the country is averaging at 13% (and has not continued to decrease) and the new cases averaging at 5-6K/day.
NCR is back on top (as expected) with 1,327 new cases and the only region to have quadruple digits for the day. The rise of cases among regions outside of the NCR plus bubble is worrisome. Notice Cagayan Valley, Western Visayas, Davao Region, SOCCSKSARGEN, Bicol, Zamboanga, Northern Mindanao, MIMAROPA seeing higher cases than usual.
In NCR, Quezon City, Manila, Makati and Pasig report triple digits. Eleven out of 17 cities from Mega Manila land in the top 20 cities in the country with most cases for the day.
In one of the most unusual days, Cavite reported only 154 cases (a statistical improbability), shifting the lead on a provincial level to Cagayan.
While Quezon City continued to top the haul among cities with most cases, several urban areas outside of NCR are among the top 10. In second today is Davao City. Others were: Zamboanga City, General Santos City, Tuguegarao, Cagayan de Oro, and Iloilo City.
The OCTA Research monitoring update as of May 27, 2011 is provided below in full. The positivity rate for COVID19 testing is now lower in the NCR at 10% compared to the national positivity rate. The 7-day average of new cases has declined by 23% and currently hovers around 1,000 plus daily average from May 20-26. The average daily attack rate is also lower at 7.41 (moderate risk). And as NCR continued to improve, the total cases in the country are plateauing or declining too slowly because we are seeing a significant rise in cities outside of the region.
Those that saw a significant increase in cases in the last week were: Davao City, Puerto Princesa, Butuan, General Santos and Cebu City. Even with increase in cases in Cebu City, the health care utilization here is much lower than most of the other top cities at only 20%. More than 70% health care utilization rate were seen in Zamboanga City, Iloilo City, Dasmariñas (Cavite), Baguio City, Butuan, and San Fernando (Pampanga).