More than 5K on a Tuesday for 06.01.2021 is not a good sign

The first day of June is a Tuesday. The number of cases on Tuesdays and Wednesdays are usually 25-30% lower than the average cases from Thursday to Monday. The fact that the Health Agency reports 5,1777 new cases for reports of May 30, Sunday, with 11.7% positivity is quite unsettling. The active cases are still at more than 50,000. The regions outside of NCR are now accounting for around 85% of the total cases in the country. This is reflected in the healthcare utilization nationally vs the NCR. The driving force in increased hospital care on a national level are regions outside of Mega Manila.

With 46 new deaths, the case fatality ratio for outcomes remains steady at 1.78%. Total deaths has now breached 21,000.

Suddenly, the NCR slips to third place (which is good for the NCR region) as CALABARZON and Central Luzon take the lead in new cases by region. Mega Manila accounted for 12.6% of the cases. Together with regions IVA and III, these three regions accounted for 43% of the total cases in the country today.

Of the 17 LGUs in NCR, Quezon City continued the lead with 182 cases, with Muntinlupa moving up to 4th rank for the day. Six of 17 LGUs were among the top 20 cities with most cases for the day.

On a provincial level, Cavite took the lead, with Isabela, Cagayan and Nueva Ecija in second to fourth spot today.

Cities outside of the NCR with the most cases were mostly from Mindanao – Davao City, Cagayan de Oro, and General Santos.

The World Health Organization COVID-19 dashboard (https://covid19.who.int) provides us an overview of the over-all situation of the pandemic globally. As of May 30, 2021, notice the data provided below where the surge in cases is now concentrated in South-East Asia and the Western Pacific region (where the Philippines belongs).

The graph provided is a weekly summary of the cases. The Western Pacific cases continue to increase and while there are only over 3M cases in this region (of which the Philippines belongs), the Philippines contributes to more than 40% of the cases in this region alone.

The graphs below isolate now the data of South-East Asia and that of the Western Pacific.

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