Lower new cases on 06.27.2021, can we sustain this decline? The answer – we should

With 3 laboratories not submitting reports for June 25 with almost 48,000 tests and 12% positivity rate, the Health Agency reports 6,096 new cases. In spite of more recoveries, the number of active cases are still above 50,000. We are a little more than 2,000 cases to breach 14M total COVID-19 cases.

There were 128 new deaths reported today and the case fatality ratio is still 1.81%.

While CALABARZON is back in the lead, NCR’s numbers are up from a previous of 10% to 12.3%. Does the vaccine rollout make people more complacent? Western Visayas and Davao Region continue to report high numbers in their respective regions.

In NCR, Quezon City continues to lead and among 17 LGUs in Mega Manila, the region manages to land 7 of the 20 cities in the top. Three of these 7 cities are among the top five – Quezon City, Makati, Manila.

On a provincial level, it is Davao del Sur, Iloilo Province and Laguna that continue the lead.

And Davao City remains on top among all LGUs with 301 cases today. Much more than combining the total new cases from Quezon City and Makati City.

With slower decline in reproduction number and a relatively slow roll-out of vaccines, we really won’t expect a dramatic drop in the cases for COVID-19 in the country. Even when vaccines are fully rolled out, people will need remember that it will take 4 weeks before the full dose (2 doses) before a surmountable immune response can be expected. Even with the roll-out today, the most likely benefits should be seen after 6-8 weeks.

In the meantime, the other countries in select Asian countries who saw a rise in cases are seeing a quicker dip while others remain to struggle. The question is, how long will our economic and educational struggle take us as the government continues to utilize lockdowns as the main strategic solution in addressing the pandemic?

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