Are we on an upward swing with 6,560 new cases on 07.21.2021?

The usual trend for Wednesdays is slightly a fewer hundred cases from the Tuesday.

Today took a different turn. And that’s not a good sign. While the deaths are a low 32, they are not accurate as deaths are always reported late. The bothersome data is that the Health Agency announces 6,560 new cases for a Wednesday. This is based on 36,168 tests done last July 19 and a positivity rate up at more than 12%.

This is considering that 4 laboratories failed to submit data for July 19.

The NCR has breached the 1,000 mark again. But the sad part is that it’s a Wednesday, when cases are lower. And the reproduction rate is now at 1.15! But that’s not the story alone. There are 197 recorded cases but from unknown LGU in NCR. This time, the city of Manila led all cities in NCR followed by Quezon City. And only 3 of 17 LGUs in Mega Manila were in the top 20 LGUs with most cases in the country. Which means that the cases are increasing in many key areas.

CALABARZON, Central and Western Visayas and Central Luzon reported more than 700 cases!

On a provincial level, Cebu topped the list with 685 new cases. This was higher than the combined cases of Iloilo province and Laguna, that came in second and third today.

And the city of Cebu has the most cases among all LGUs in the country for the day.

OCTA MONITORING REPORT

Notice the sudden rise in Rt nationally and the NCR. Rt in the Philippines is up at 0.98, while in Mega Manila, the Rt is up from 1.06 to 1.08 as of the data for July 14-20.

The following LGUs are considered high risk using the four indicators of infection (Rt), incidence (ADAR), ICU utilization rate, and positivity tests: Davao City, Cebu City, Iloilo City, Bacolod, Makati, Cagayan de Oro, General Santos, Baguio City, Taguig, Laoag, and Mariveles.

Based on the indicator for Rt, Laoag, Lapu Lapu City and Cebu City have very high infection rates.

Incidence is highest in Laoag at 47.87 per 100,000 population, followed by Mariveles with 28.53.

ICU occupancy is heaviest in Iloilo City at 99%, while it is at 92% in Taguig and 91% in Davao.

Finally, positivity rate is highest in General Santos at 27%, while the following LGUs have positivity rates that are more than 20% (1 out of 5 tested will likely test positive) – Bacolod, Cagayan de Oro, General Santos, Baguio City and Laoag.

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