The typical Wednesday, more critical areas and the data of 08.18.2021

The typical Wednesday is seeing a few more hundred cases (or at least 10% more) than the day before.

With 11,085 new cases reported today, the new cases brushed off the recoveries and the number of active cases continues to exceed 100,000.

Of more than 46,000 tests done last August 16, 23.4% were positive.

Total deaths today added was 161, placing the case fatality ratio for outcomes steady at 1.83% (not 1.72%). Reiterate the fact that we still do not know the outcome of the active cases, which account for close to 6% of the total cases in the country.

ICU utilization has gone down perhaps due to increase in ICU beds for some government and private hospitals or that most the cases being reported are mild or asymptomatic and will not require hospitalization for now.

NCR and CALABARZON accounted for more than half the cases in the Philippines today.

Cavite remains the top province on a provincial level with quadruple digits. Four provinces in Region IVA (CALABARZON) are among the top 10 provinces with most cases for the day.

Quezon City remains as the top LGU in terms of new cases in the country. Eight of 17 LGUs in NCR are in the 20 LGUs with most cases. It is, however, cities in Cavite that have surprisingly joined the top 20 LGUs. Five LGUs in Cavite are in the top 20. Two LGUs are from Cebu province, and two LGUs are from Laguna.

OCTA MONITORING REPORT

From a handful to a bucketful.

The national reproduction number is at 1.54, while it is higher at 1.78 in the NCR.

There was an overall increase of 41% in cases nationally, while an increase of 52% in Mega Manila.

Muntinlupa City in the NCR led all LGUs in the country with the highest increase in cases based on the 7-day average from August 11-17, 2021. Muntinlupa shot up 119% from 89 new daily cases to 195 new daily cases. Based on ADAR (incidence rate), Muntinlupa ranked 6th in the country with ICU utilization at 98%.

In today’s report, 27 of the top 40 LGUs have an ADAR (average daily attack rate or number of new daily cases per 100,000 population for this period) greater than 25!. The highest ADAR is Tuguegarao.

ICU utilization is also at critical levels in 18 of the 40 LGUs, This may be a case of under reporting for many cities in the list.

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