The Saturday habit of record new cases and the data of 09.18.2021

The Health Agency reports the second highest cases the Philippines records since the more than 26,000 cases reported last September 11 (exactly one week ago).

With 23,134 new cases today, the Philippines surpasses the Ukraine and sits now in 18th rank for most number of COVID19 cases in the world. There are still more than 180,000 active cases.

On September 16, 73,635 tests were done with a slightly lower positivity rate at 26%.

There are 255 new deaths reported. The case fatality ratio for outcomes is at 1.70%

The NCR, that remains the epicenter of the surge, is still seeing increasing cases. Note that while the R has dropped from 1.39 to 1.22, and the growth rate is down to +8% from 11%, the 7 day average of cases is almost 6,000 per day. And while there is a slight decrease in hospital bed occupancy, the ICU bed occupancy is up by almost 20%.

With the NCR moving into a quarantine status that allows more mobility due to economic repercussions of lockdowns, we will see how the data plays out in the next two weeks.

In spite of the spike in cases today, the NCR had considerably lower cases than its usually range of 25-30%. The NCR owned 22% of the total cases. The news of the day was Cagayan Valley, which came in third with 2,912 cases – their all time high!

NCR PLUS also trended lower from its usual range of 60-65%, down to 50.6% today, as 6 other regions outside of NCR saw quadruple digits. They were: CALABARZON, Cagayan Valley, Central Luzon, Davao Region, Ilocos Region and Western Visayas. All other regions in the country report triple digits for the day.

Even on a provincial scale, Isabela reported 1,512 cases today to displace Cavite from the over-all lead. Nevertheless, the four provinces of Cavite, Laguna, Rizal and Batangas in the CALABARZON ranked 2nd to 5th for the day.

Eleven of 17 LGUs in NCR were among the top twelve cities/municipalities with most cases. Davao City remained in the top five, while Santiago (in Isabela Province) ranked 9th today.

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