NCR positivity rate <5% and the data for 02.22.2022

Close but not close to triple digits as the Health Agency announces 1019 new cases based on 18177 tests with a positivity of 6.4% in the country. While NCR is seeing lower positivity rates, other regions in the country are driving up the extreme side of higher rates in spite of their lower numbers. They are not testing anymore.

The active cases are a little above 56K with almost 92% being asymptomatic or mild at the time of testing. The good news remains that the healthcare utilization rate is at low risk in most parts of the country.

Of the 1019 cases today, 96% (982) occurred within the last two weeks. The top regions in this period were NCR, Region IVA and Region 1.

There are 13 deaths added today. Of these, 6 occurred in February while 5 in January 2022. There were 2 days in 2021 – one in October and one in September.

Note that 260 duplicates were removed from the total case count. Of these, 240 are recoveries.

The DoH adds that one case was found to have tested negative and has been removed from the total case count and is a recovery.

There were 13 cases tagged as recoveries but were actually mortalities.

NCR accounted for 20.5% of the total cases in the country with 209 cases today. Only one other region had three digits – CALABARZON with 129 cases. All other regions reported two or single digit cases. Those with single numbers were: BARMM 7, MIMAROPA 9, and Bicol 5. Even Western Visayas, Central Visayas, CAR, and Davao Region saw double digit cases today.

In NCR, none of the LGUs posted more than 50 cases. Quezon City led the pack with 41 cases today, with Manila at 29 and Makati at 26. All other LGUs had less than 20 cases. Six LGUs reported single digits: Las Piñas 9, Malabon 5, Marikina 3, Muntinlupa 7, San Juan 3, and Valenzuela 4. Two LGUs had ZERO COVID cases – Navotas and Pateros.


Prof. Guido David provides an update on the status of NCR and the CALABARZON area for OCTA Research as shown in the infographic below.

Note the following: (1) the decline rate is slower now in Mega Manila compared to the past weeks. This means that the numbers may be plateauing at a certain level. The positivity rate is at 4.9%, which puts it now at low risk. The premise is, if the growth rate goes down to 0% at 200 cases, this means we will be stuck at that number of daily active cases.

Positivity rate remains at moderate risk in all the provinces in Region IVA except for Quezon which is at lowest risk with an ADAR of 0.51, Rt of 0.18 and a positivity of 3%.

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