Continued improving conditions in the PH and the data for 02.23.2022

The Health Agency continued to report the expected range of cases for a Wednesday.

With a 6.1% positivity from over 24K tests done last February 21, 1,534 new cases were added to the total COVID-19 cases in the PH. With a little more than 55K active cases, almost 92% were mild or asymptomatic at the time of testing. Note that of the 1534 cases today, only 1057 (69%) are fresh or recent (within the lat two weeks), with NCR, Central Luzon and CALABARZON as the major regions contributing to the cases.

It’s the deaths that’s really disturbing as 201 are added today. Of these, 34% occurred this February, while 59% of 118 were deaths in January 2022. The rest were from September to December 2021.

There were 109 duplicates removed from the total case count, where 99 were recoveries.

There were 187 cases previously tagged as recoveries but were in actuality mortalities after final validation.

NCR continued to account for a little over 20% of the cases today with 315 cases. All other regions with triple digits reported less than 200 cases – CALABARZON 179, Western Visayas 161, Central Luzon 147, Central Visayas 112, and Davao Region 103. There were 19 ROFs positive for COVID19.

In the NCR, only Quezon City with 55 cases and the City of Manila with 53 cases. All other LGUs in NCR reported less than 50 cases with six LGUs reporting single digit – Las Piñas 5, Malabon 7, Muntinlupa 8, Navotas 4, San Juan 4 and Pateros 2. No LGU in Mega Manila had zero COVID today.

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Based on OCTA Research data (from Prof. Guido David), and despite the absence of the daily data drop the Department of Health, the current condition of the major highly urbanized cities in the Philippines show improving conditions in terms of risk levels. Majority of them are now low risk, including NCR, while a few remain in moderate risk.

Those in moderate risk are: Baguio City, Cagayan de Oro, Davao City, General Santos, Iligan, Iloilo City, Naga City, Puerto Princesa and Zamboanga City.

Those at very low risk (and a round of applause for them) are: Angeles City (Pampanga) and Lucena City (Quezon Province).

Notice, however, the inconsistencies in the positivity rates of each of these HUCs. While the over-all risk category may look good, one needs to consider whether the area even tests or not. Places like General Santos, Iligan, Naga, and Puerto Princesa have a very high positivity and would be difficult to make heads or tails on whether its low cases are attributed to an actual drop in cases or just the pure absence of testing. As we all know, if you don’t test, you don’t report.

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