The world in review and the data for 11.20.2022

The Health Agency announces 1063 new cases with 18 added deaths and a positivity rate of 10.2% today. While NCR owned 24% of the cases for the day (255), it was the provinces that owned majority of the cases.

Cebu led with 80 followed by Cavite 44, Benguet 43, Rizal 42, Iloilo 37 and Laguna 35.

In NCR, Quezon City had 47 cases followed by 34 in Manila. Ten other LGUs reported low double digits. Taguig 23, Pasig 21, Mandaluyong 18, Las Piñas 16, Caloocan 15; Parañaque, Pasay City and Muntinlupa 14 each; Makati 12, and Marikina 10. Only Pateros had zero COVID cases in NCR.

THE GLOBAL DATA AS OF 13 NOVEMBER 2022 (NOV 13, ED 118, PUBLICATION WHO)

This week saw a bump up in cases after a few consecutive weeks of decline.

Globally, the new weekly cases are up 2% for the week of November 7-13, compared to the previous week as >2.3M cases were reported. The real number is higher due to a decline in global testing. On the flip side is that the weekly deaths continued to decrease and is down by 30% compared to the previous week. This is the lowest report on mortality since the start of the pandemic.

On a regional level, newly reported weekly cases continued to increase in three WHO regions – Western Pacific Region (+18%), South East Asia Region (+15%) and Region of the Americas (+12%). The number of deaths continued to decline in the world except for the Western Pacific Region (+14%) and the Eastern Mediterranean Region (+7%). [Note in the graph the pink bar which represents the Western Pacific Region, where the Philippine belongs that there is an increase in cases.]

At the country level, the highest number of new weekly cases came from two countries that recently opened its borders to tourism: Japan had more than half a million cases this week – up by 25% and South Korea that had more than 330,000 cases, up by 19%). Only one other country saw increase in cases – USA (+6%). Rounding up the top five were Germany (-25%) and China (-22%).

Highest number of weekly deaths were from the US (-6%), Japan (+41%), Russia (-10%), China (-24%) and France (-10%).

The WHO says that “current trends in reported COVID-19 cases should be interpreted with caution as several countries have been progressively changing COVID-19 testing strategies, resulting in lower overall numbers of tests performed and consequently lower numbers of cases detected. COVID-19 prevalence surveys conducted in a number of countries have found that the number of reported COVID-19 cases is an underestimate of the actual number of cases in the population. Additionally, data from previous weeks are continuously updated to retrospective incorporate changes in reported COVID-19 cases and deaths made by countries.

1122 new cases and 10 added deaths on 11.19.2022

The Health Agency announces 1122 new cases with 10.3% positivity and 10 added deaths. NCR owned 25% of the cases today as the provinces continued to account for most of the cases.

Cebu continued to lead with 78 cases followed by Cavite 48, Rizal 41, Iloilo 37 and Laguna 34.

NCR had 12 LGUs with double digits led by Quezon City with 56 cases and Manila with 48. The rest saw less than 30 cases: Valenzuela 24, Pasig 22, Taguig 19, Mandaluyong 18, Parañaque and Pasay City 16, Las Piñas 15, Makati 14, Caloocan 12, and Muntinlupa 11. Malabon was the lone LGU with zero COVID today.

1774 new cases and 17 added deaths on 11.18.2022

The Health Agency announces 1774 new cases with 17 added deaths and 10.2% positivity. NCR owned 23% of the share today, which meant that the provinces continued to draw the haul.

Only one province had triple digits – Cebu – with 108 cases. Other provinces with more than 30 cases today were: Cavite 76, Laguna 74, Rizal 52, Batangas 30, Tarlac 42, Iloilo 53, Negros Occidental 69, Isabela 31, Nueva Vizcaya 31, Davao del Sur 52, Pangasinan 31, Benguet 70 (including Baguio City 50), Bukidnon 49, Cagayan de Oro 31, Camarines Sur 42, Zamboanga del Sur 30.

In NCR, Quezon City led with 83 cases followed by Manila with 51, Pasig 49, Makati 33, Taguig 32, Caloocan and Parañaque 30. Those with double digits but less than 30 cases were: Pasay City 22, Las Piñas 20, Muntinlupa 19, Mandaluyong 14, and Marikina 11.

1153 new cases and 9 added deaths for 11.17.2022

The Health Agency announces 1153 new cases with 10.2% positivity and 9 added deaths. NCR owned 308 of the cases.

The provinces continued to haul the cases today. Cebu led with 79 cases followed by Benguet 76 (Baguio City had 59), Cavite 74, Iloilo 50, Davao del Sur and Bulacan 36 each, Laguna 34 and Isabela 33.

NCR had quite a substantial haul as well with Quezon City leading with 59 cases. Double digits were seen in Manila 49, Makati 25, Mandaluyong 23, Parañaque 21; Pasig, Taguig, Pasay City and Las Piñas 18 cases each, Valenzuela 15, Caloocan 14, and Muntinlupa 10.

The low Wednesday with 810 new cases and 12 added deaths for 11.16.2022

The Health Agency announces 810 new cases with 12 added deaths and a 9.8% positivity rate. NCR owned 25% of the cases for today.

The provinces continued to lead with haul with Negros Occidental having the highest cases at 46 followed by Iloilo 40, Tarlac 34 and Laguna and Cebu with 31 cases each.

In NCR, only Quezon City reported more than 30 cases with 39 reported today. Seven other LGUs had low double digits: Manila 27, Pasig 25, Parañaque 18, Pasay City 17, Las Piñas 12, Makati 11 and Taguig 10.

Not so low Tuesday with 1071 new cases and 15 added deaths for 11.15.2022

The Health Agency announces 1071 new cases, on a day that we expected lower cases because it is a Tuesday. There were higher cases today than yesterday, but it is possible that some of the cases were actually late reports. Positivity rate today is up at 9.1%.

The provinces outside NCR owned 80% of the cases today with Negros Occidental leading the haul with 122 cases followed by Cebu 59, Cavite and Iloilo 51 each, Zamboanga del Sur 37, Batangas 33, Benguet 32 and Laguna 31. There were quite a number that had double digits but less than 30 cases.

In NCR, Quezon City led with 49 cases followed by Manila 38, Taguig 27, Makati 15, Pasig, Pasay City and Muntinlupa with 11 each, and Las Piñas and Parañaque with 10 each.

1009 new cases and 18 added deaths on 11.14.2022

The Health Agency announces 1009 new cases with 8.7% positivity (reset as today is Monday) with 18 added deaths.

The haul today continued to come from the provinces with Cebu leading with 90 cases followed by Cavite 68, Davao del Sur 60, Benguet 58 (39 from Baguio City), Iloilo 44, Laguna 42, Nueva Vizcaya 36, Rizal 34, and Bukidnon 30.

NCR continued to see lower cases with 229 (22%) of the share today. This was led by Quezon City 54. Six other LGUs had low double digits: Manila 35, Makati 23, Pasig 20, Las Piñas and Pasay City 19 each and Parañaque 10.

The week in review showed a 43% increase in cases for the week November 7-13, 2022 compared to the previous week of October 31 – November 6. Again, the 4-days long weekend in the previous week added to the lower cases (that were already low from the get go due to under testing and under reporting). The 7-day average of the Philippines is up at 1,296 daily cases compared to the 900+ daily cases the previous week.

Healthcare utilization is stable with non-ICU bed utilization at 25.8% and ICU bed utilization at 21.3%. Severe and critical admissions have no significant change with 613 cases. There were 113 deaths added the past week, with 41 of them occurring in the last two weeks.

The world in review and the data for 11.13.2022

The Health Agency announces 1858 new cases with 6 added deaths and 10.4% positivity rate. NCR owned only 18.8% of the day’s cases as the provinces take a big hit in the reported cases today (some of which may actually be late reports but are being reported only today).

In the lead in the provinces is Cebu with 120 cases followed by Cavite 87, Davao del Sur 84, Rizal 72, Iloilo 66, Laguna 65, Negros Occidental 59, Nueva Vizcaya 52 (including the City of Santiago) Cagayan province 48, Bulacan 41, Baguio City 40, Pangasinan 37, Batangas 36, Tarlac 33, and South Cotabato 31. Many provinces have double digit figures today.

THE GLOBAL DATA AS OF 06 NOVEMBER 2022 (NOV. 9, ED. 117 PUBLICATION, WHO)

The world continued to see a drop of cases by 15% on the week of October 31 to November 6, 2022 compared to the previous week. There were only 2.1 M cases reported globally compared to the >2.3M cases the week prior. Again, the true number of incident cases is an underestimation due to the decline in global testing. The number of new weekly deaths also continued to decline, this week by 10%, with 9400 deaths reported.

At the regional level, newly reported weekly cases were up in South East Asia Region (+28%) and the Western Pacific Region (+10%). This correlated with the number of deaths as there was increase in deaths in the South East Asia Region (+535% mainly due to batch reporting from India) and the Western Pacific Region (+8%).

At the country level, the highest number of new weekly cases were reported from Japan (+42%), South Korea (+24%), the USA (+5%). The highest number of weekly deaths came from the United States, India (again due to batch reporting), China, Russia and France.

Reproduction rates in the East Asia region was up (Rt>1.0) in South Korea, Indonesia, Japan, Malaysia and China. The Philippines continued to hold its reproduction number at 0.83 (+/-0.05) indicating flat or no changes. The week prior, the lower numbers in the Philippines was due to the 4-day long weekend where testing is hardly done during the long holidays. Like the global trend, cases of COVID-19 in the Philippine are under reported and under estimated. The positivity rate of the Philippines remains more than 10% at 10.6% as of November 12, 2022.

1232 new cases and 27 added deaths for 11.12.2022

The Health Agency announces 1232 new cases with 10.6% positivity rate and 27 added deaths today. The NCR owned 25% of the day’s cases with 13 LGUs posting double digits but only Quezon City owning 72 cases (23%) in the tiny region. All other LGUs had low double digits: Manila 33, Taguig 27, Makati and Marikina 25 each, Pasig and Caloocan 20 each, Pasay City 17, Parañaque 16, Muntinlupa 15, Valenzuela 13, Mandaluyong and San Juan 11 each. Navotas was the only LGU that had ZERO COVID today.

Outside NCR, Negros Occidental led the haul with 77 cases, followed by Cebu with 66, Iloilo 60, Laguna 45, Davao del Sur 44, Baguio City 40, Cavite 39, Pangasinan 31 and Cagayan 30.

1227 new cases and 33 added deaths on 11.11.2022

The Health Agency announces 1227 new cases with 33 added deaths and a positivity rate of 10.5% today. NCR owned 22.6% of the case load as the provinces continued to bring in the haul of numbers.

Cavite took the lead with 74 cases followed by Cebu 68, Davao del Sur 63, Baguio City 60, Iloilo 58, Laguna 49, Bulacan 42, and La Union 33. However, many provinces had double digit figures less than 30 cases today.

In NCR, Quezon City continued to lead with 67 cases. Double digits came fro Manila 40, Makati 27, Taguig 19, Pasig 17, Caloocan 16, Marikina 15, Parañaque 14, Pasay City 13 and Las Piñas 12.