425 new cases with NCR owning more than 50% on 06.16.2022

The Health Agency announced 425 new cases today with the NCR accounting for 214 of the cases for the day. Eight (8) LGUs in Mega Manila reported double digits: Quezon City 43, Makati 26, Pasay City 22, Manila 21, Parañaque 20, Pasig and Taguig with 18 cases each, and Mandaluyong 13. Only Malabon and Navotas had zero covid today.

Outside of NCR, Region IV-A (CALABARZON) reported 69 cases, led by Cavite with 25, Rizal 22 and Laguna 12. Batangas had 7, while Quezon owned 3.

Other provinces/HUCs with double digits were: Iloilo 32 (20 city, 12 province) and Pampanga 11.

The other province that saw a bump up in cases reported today was Isabela with 7 new cases.

The 7-day positivity rate is up at 2.9% today.

256 new cases and no added deaths for 06.15.2022

As the Health Agency announces 6 new cases of BA.5 and 10 new cases of BA.2.12.1, there are 256 new cases added today. The 7-day positivity rate drops to 2.6% as NCR accounted for 46% of the cases for the day. There are no added deaths.

Mega Manila had 117 cases today, which was led by 5 LGUs with double digits. They were: Quezon City 23, Pasig 19, Makati 12, and Manila and Taguig with 10 each. Malabon, San Juan and Pateros had zero covid today.

Outside of NCR, CALABARZON had 52 cases led by Rizal 18, Cavite 16, Laguna 10, Batangas 7 and Quezon province 1.

Other provinces with double digits were: Bulacan 11, and Iloilo 21 (city 16, province 5).

Davao City reported 7 cases today.

The low Tuesday on 06.14.2022

The Health Agency announces 257 new cases today, the low Tuesday. There are no added deaths today. However, NCR continued to own 50% of the cases in the Philippines. The other parameter one should be looking at is the positivity rate, which is now at 2.7%.

In the NCR, five LGUs reported double digits. They were: Makati and Manila with 19 each, Quezon City 17, Pasig 12 and Mandaluyong 10. Only Navotas and Pateros had zero covid today.

Outside of NCR, the provinces with double digits were: Cavite 22 and Rizal 11.

Remember, that the cases today are based on tests done on Sunday, June 12 where many testing facilities may also be closed. With a positivity rate of close to 3% we should be teetering the 400-500 anytime.

The week in review and the data for 06.13.2022

The Health Agency announces the 7-day summary of cases for the week of June 6-12, 2022. New cases this week stand at 1,682 (7-day average of 240 cases/day) compared to 1,295 cases reported the week prior or May 30 – June 5, 2022 or a jump of more than 30% in number of cases. There were 8 additional severe and critical cases this week (which comprised only 0.48% of the total cases) compared to 16 additional cases last week (1.24% of the total cases). Of the five deaths announced this week, 2 were recent (occurring from May 30 – June 12).

Hospital utilization in the country remained at a low of 20.3% for non-ICU bed utilization, but is up from last week’s 18.1%. ICU bed utilization this past week was at 16.6%, also up from 14.7% the week before last. However, the total severe and critical admissions are now down to 498 compared to the 599 that were still severe and critical the week before this.

In terms of vaccination coverage, fully vaccinated is at 77.51% this week as there were a little more than 271,000 additional vaccinees for full vaccination classification. The A2 population coverage (senior citizens) is at 77.42% (from 77.33%).

A comparison on month on month number of COVID-19 cases for 2021 vs 2022 is provided below. The blue bars are for the year 2021 while the orange represents 2022. All data are extracted from the daily report of the Department of Health. Note that the worst year was 2021 as the Philippines had gone through alpha, beta, and delta variants of concern. Omicron came into the picture late December 2021, which accounted for the surge in January and February 2022. This surge was very limited and quick to decline. The number of COVID19 cases in December 2021 was only slightly lower than March 2022. The data for June 2022 isn’t complete yet and is up to June 12, 2022. With the slight bump up in cases, we may expect June to have slightly more cases than the month of May, and hopefully not exceed that of the month of April 2022. (Thank you Ching Rubio for providing the month on month data)

The Health Agency announces 386 new cases today, with no added deaths. The daily positivity rate is up at 2.2%. It’s been awhile since we tipped over the 2% mark.

The NCR accounts for almost half of the cases today. Six LGUs continue to report double digits as Quezon City dominated with 50 cases today. Quezon City alone accounted for 26.5% of the cases in Mega Manila. Others with double digits were: Manila 29, Makati 18, Parañaque 17, Pasig 14, Las Piñas 10. Three LGUs had zero covid today. They were: Malabon, Navotas and Pateros.

Outside of NCR, four provinces in CALABARZON report double digits. Rizal led with 26, followed by Cavite 18, and Laguna and Batangas with 10 each.

Iloilo had 10 cases (6 province, 4 city) and the only province with double digits outside of Luzon with double numbers today.

Other provinces with unusual bump up in cases included Cagayan and Pangasinan with 8 cases each.

East Asia in Review and the data for 06.12.2022

The Health Agency announces 308 new cases (it’s been awhile since we have hit the 300 mark) with half of the cases coming from NCR alone. While there are no added deaths today, 6 LGUs in Mega Manila report double digits. This was led by Quezon City with 36 cases. The rest were: Manila 21, Parañaque 19, Makati 17, Pasig 14, and Taguig 10. Marikina, Malabon and Pateros had zero covid today.

Provinces outside of NCR that reported double digits today were: Cavite 14, Bulacan 10, Negros Occidental 11 (province 7, Bacolod City 4), Cebu 14 (city 11, province 3). Zambaonga City had 8 and General Santos 6 cases.

THE WEEK IN REVIEW

According to the World Health Organization (https://www.who.int/publications/m/item/weekly-epidemiological-update-on-covid-19—8-june-2022) situation report, as of June 8, the world continued to see a decline in new COVID-19 cases with a 12% drop from the previous week. While there are certain areas where there is still a high number of cases, the omicron variant and its sub variants are the dominant circulating serotypes globally.

The clinical characteristics of omicron sublineages are provided in the summary below. Not that there currently are NO studies on relative transmissibility for BA.4 and BA.5 compared to BA.1 and BA.2. There is also no currently available evidence suggesting a difference in disease severity from the BA.4 and BA.5 sublineages compared to BA.1.

In the same report, a summary of the vaccine effectiveness of a primary series plus ONE booster vaccination against omicron (VOC) is provided.

“To date, 22 studies from 10 countries have assessed the duration of protection of five vaccines against the Omicron variant…Findings from these studies show reduced VE of COVID-19 primary series vaccines against the Omicron variant for all outcomes (severe disease, symptomatic disease, and infection) than has been observed for the other VOCs. Importantly though, VE estimates against the Omicron variant remain higher for severe disease, in the majority of studies. Booster vaccination substantially improves VE for all outcomes and for all combinations of schedules with estimates available for both primary series and booster vaccination. VE declines more with time after booster vaccination for symptomatic disease and infection than it does for severe disease; however, studies that assess VE of booster vaccination beyond six months are needed to evaluate the longer duration of protection.”

The past seven days saw the Philippines experience a slight bump up in cases. The average daily cases are now at 227 new cases/day, the over-all reproduction rate has stabilized to around 1.1 (+/- 0.05), with different areas/regions/HUCs/provinces seeing different Rt numbers. NCR has a Rt of 1.3 (+/- 0.05) as of 3 days ago. Numbers will continue to slightly bump up but as long as the hospital utilization rate remains low, then the region remains to be at low risk.

In general, the Philippines continues to be at low risk compared to the other ASEAN and some East Asian neighbors.

Based on per capita (cases per million population), Taiwan continued to lead as the cases began to decline but saw a sudden uptick the past few days. The data in ourworldindata.org showed a summary of Indonesia having 0 numbers, but this is due to inaccurate input of data. The 7-day average of Indonesia is at 504 cases/day, and should be right after Vietnam.

NCR hauls in more than half of the 297 new cases for 06.11.2022

The Health Agency announces 297 new cases today, with no added deaths. The National Capital Region owned 151 (51%) of the cases for the day.

Six LGUs in the NCR reported double digits today. This was led by Quezon City with 36 cases. The other with double digits were: Manila 22, Makati 18, Taguig 16, Parañaque 13, Caloocan 11. Both Muntinlupa and Pasig had 7 cases each today. Three LGUs had zero covid. They were: Valenzuela, Malabon and Pateros.

Outside of NCR, the following provinces/HUCs had double digits: Cavite 12, Rizal 10, and Iloilo 11 (city 1, province 10). Other areas with slightly higher than usual numbers were: Davao City 8, Palawan 6, General Santos City 5, and Baguio City 4.

282 new cases and 5 deaths on 06.10.2022

The Health Agency announces 282 new cases and 5 added deaths today. The 7-day positivity rate is up at 1.8% today. Mega Manila continued to lead, owning 121 of todays cases (43%).

Quezon City led with 32 cases, followed by Makati 20, Manila 16 and Pasig 10. Those with more than 5 but less than 10 cases were: Muntinlupa 7, Mandaluyong and Parañaque 6 apiece, and Taguig 5. Navotas and Pateros were the only LGUs with zero covid.

Outside of NCR, the following provinces/HUCs saw double digits or higher than usual cases. They were: Cavite 17, Tarlac 14, Bulacan 13, Iloilo 13 (province 12, city 1), Cebu 12 (province 7, city 5), Pampanga 9, Bacolod City 6, Davao City 6.

252 new cases with NCR owning half for 06.09.2022

The Health Agency announces 252 new cases today with positivity rate up at 1.7%. No additional death were added. Note that HALF or 125 cases are from the NCR alone. This is relatively high as the NCR shoots three digits today.

Mega Manila had 5 LGUs with double digits. Quezon City 34, Manila 22, Parañaque 14, Las Piñas 13, and Makati 11. Three LGUs had zero COVID. They were: Malabon, Navotas and Pateros.

Outside of NCR, the province of Rizal and Davao City had both 11 cases. While others had single digit numbers, it is worthy mentioning that South Cotabato and Southern Leyte had 7 cases apiece.

192 new cases with 83 from NCR on 06.08.2022

The Health Agency announces 192 new cases with no added deaths today. The NCR owned 43% of the cases for the day. Two LGUs in NCR had double digits – Quezon City 16 and Makati 12. While majority had single digit numbers, the cases are slightly higher in some of these LGUs than usual. For example, Muntinlupa has been reporting more than 5 cases (6 today) in the past couple of days. Mandaluyong also had 6 cases, as well as Parañaque. Only one LGU had zero covid today – Pasay City.

Outside of NCR, no province or HUC had double digits. However, those that saw increase cases were: Pangasinan 9 and Davao City 5.

NCR owned 57% of the cases for the low Tuesday on 06.07.2022

The Health Agency announces 168 new cases with no added deaths today. But NCR reported 95 of these. The LGUs in NCR with the most cases today were: Quezon City 22, Makati 15, Muntinlupa and Pasig 9 each, Parañaque and Manila 8 apiece and Taguig with 7. Three LGUs in NCR had zero covid today. They were: Navotas, San Juan and Pateros.

No other province or HUC outside of NCR had double digit cases. The Rt in NCR is up at 1.25 (+/-0.05) as the cases continue to rise and the 7-day positivity rate is at 1.6%.