The week in review and the data for 06.06.2022

The Health Agency announces the new cases for the week of May 30-June 5, 2022 was at 1,295. This means that we had a 7-day average of 185 cases/day or a 1.4% lower number of cases compared to May 23-29, where the cases for that week totaled 1,317 (or a 7 day average of 188 daily new cases). These numbers mean – THERE WAS NO CHANGE IN THE WEEK ON WEEK NUMBER OF CASES.

What stood out, however, was that this week, there ere 16 severe and critical cases (compared to the 12 last week) and there was one added death (which occurred in January 2022). There was no recent death reported.

In terms of healthcare utilization, non-ICU bed utilization was at 18.1% (vs. 17.2% the previous week) and ICU bed utilization at 14.7% (compared to 16.8% the previous week). Severe and critical admissions are down to 599 (vs. 679 the previous week).

Fully vaccinated is at 77.20% (compared to 77% the previous week) as only a little more than 155,000 were added. The A2 is also slightly up at 77.33% (compared to the 77.29% previous week). Only 174,278 had boosters/additional doses given this past week compared to the close to 240,000 the week of May 23-29, 2022.

The Health Agency announces 179 new cases with no added deaths today. The not so good news part is that of the 11,260 individuals tested on June 5, 200 or 1.8% tested positive.

The NCR owned 80 (45%) of the cases today. Three LGUs that had double digits today were: Quezon City 17, Manila 13, and Las Piñas 10. Those reporting an unusually uptick in cases included Muntinlupa with 6 and Makati with 7. LGUs in Mega Manila with zero covid were: Marikina, Malabon, San Juan and Pateros.

Outside of NCR, Cavite reported double digits with 13 cases. Other provinces/HUCs with slight bump up of cases were: Bulacan 8, Zamboanga City 6, Cagayan 4, and Ifugao 3.

East Asia rundown and the data for 06.05.2022

The Health Agency announces 219 new cases with no added deaths today. It was NCR that is on a upward roll with 111 (>50%) of the days numbers.

LGUs in NCR with double digits today were: Quezon City 23, Makati 22, Manila 16 and Parañaque 13. Those with zero covid were: Navotas and Pateros.

No province reported double digits today.

THE WEEK IN REVIEW

East Asia is seeing a decline in cases, as most of the countries are seeing lowering or stable reproduction numbers. Three countries continue to have five-digit 7-day averages. This is led by Taiwan that has more than 75,000 daily cases, Japan with ~20,000 and South Korea which drops to a little more than 12,000 cases.

Thailand, Singapore,, Malaysia and Vietnam have low four digit numbers, while the rest including Hong Kong, Indonesia, Brunei, China and the Philippines are seeing lower triple digits.

On a per capita basis (number of cases per million population), Taiwan continued to lead with more than 3000 per million people. Brunei, Singapore, South Korea and Japan have triple digits and when compared to population size, it is Japan that is seeing less cases based on per capita with 161 cases/million people. Thailand, Hong Kong, Malaysia, Vietnam are seeing double digits per capita, while the Philippines, Indonesia are at single digit with 1.16 and 1.10 per million people, respectively.

Only China has <1.0 case per million people.

213 new cases with NCR continuing the 50% share for 06.04.2022

The Health Agency announces 213 new cases with no added deaths today. The NCR owned 105 of these cases as the reproduction rate in Mega Manila is up at 1.15 (+/- 0.05). Five LGUs in Mega Manila report double digits today. They were: Makati 16, Taguig 15, City of Manila 12, Muntinlupa 11, and Paranaque 10. Only two LGUs report zero covid. These were: Pateros and Navotas.

Outside of NCR, only the province of Rizal had double digits today with 14 cases.

Half of the 225 cases on 06.03.2022 are from NCR

The Health Agency announces 225 new cases today with 1 death (from the NCR). Half of the cases today are from NCR with 112 cases. Positivity rate in the country is up at 1.2% from 1.1%.

In the NCR, it is the City of Makati that led the double digit haul in this region with 24 new cases. Other LGUs with double digits were: Quezon City 18 and Manila 12. Many LGUs in Mega Manila, while reporting single digits reported slightly higher than usual numbers. These were: Pasig, Parañaque, Pasay, Mandaluyong with 8 cases apiece and Las Piñas with 9 new cases today. Five LGUs had zero covid. These were: Marikina, Malabon, Navotas, San Juan and Pateros.

Outside of NCR, it was the provinces of Cavite and Laguna that had double digits. Cavite had 20 while Laguna reported 14 cases today. Remember, when NCR sees an uptick, the immediate provinces in the border of the National Capital Region will follow.

182 new cases on 06.02.2022 with 40% from NCR

The Health Agency announces 182 new cases with no added deaths today. Of the cases today, 74 were from NCR. The following LGUs reported double digits: Manila 14, Taguig 11, and Parañaque 10. While the rest reported single digits or even zero covid, some LGUs were reporting higher than usual numbers (Muntinlupa 6 and Makati 8). Malabon, Navotas, San Juan and Pateros had zero COVID today.

Outside of NCR, only Cavite had double digits with 11 cases. While all the rest of the provinces/HUCs (highly urbanized cities) had only single digits, there were some areas that had again, more than usual number of cases. These were: Iloilo 8 cases (5 province, 3 city), Davao City 7, South Cotabato 5, Misamis Occidental 4, and Sarangani 3.

126 new cases and no added deaths for 06.01.2022

The Health Agency reports 126 new cases with no added deaths today. Todays numbers are lower than the low Tuesday (133 cases yesterday).

NCR accounted for 44% of todays numbers with Quezon City and Taguig reporting double digits at 11 and 10, respectively. While all the other LGUs in NCR had single digit numbers, five reported zero covid. They were: Las Piñas, Valenzuela, Malabon, Navotas and Pateros.

Outside of NCR, no province had double digit numbers.

133 new cases with NCR owning ~50% for 05.31.2022

The Health Agency announces 133 new cases with no added deaths today. However, the NCR accounted for 63 of these cases, with Quezon City as the only LGU with double digits at 13. All other LGUs in NCR had single digit with four LGUs reporting zero covid for the day. These were: Muntinlupa, Marikina, Malabon, and Pateros.

Outside of NCR, only the province of Cavite had double digits with 13 cases added today.

7-day positivity rate is down to 1.1% from 1.2%.

Dissecting disruption in social media (Part 2): The rise of the trolls

Mattathias Schwartz puts it descriptively when he defines a troll as “a person who intentionally antagonizes others online by posting inflammatory, irrelevant, or offensive comments or other disruptive content“.

In the internet community, the trolls have been in existence even before the birth of online social media. Internet users adopted the word troll to denote someone who intentionally disrupts online communities. And while you will find various ways of defining a troll in Merriam-Webster (https://www.merriam-webster.com/dictionary/troll), they agree of the six operative words by which they live by.

  1. Intentionally
  2. Antagonize
  3. Inflammatory
  4. Irrelevant
  5. Offensive
  6. Disruptive

The level of disruption by trolls is disproportional to the posted content. And it’s not just in the post-FB era that they exist. They’ve been with us for quite awhile. The rise of the trolls was exacerbated by the current political climate and made worse by the pandemic. Lockdowns after all, was the best way to entertain oneself, spit out all that anger and hate, and eventually earn a buck or two by working for a political machinery during an economic downturn.

Jevin West, associate professor within the Information School of the University of Washington, says that “we are swimming in a cesspool of misinformation. The pandemic likely makes it worse because increased levels of uncertainty creates the kinds of environments that trolls take advantage of.”

The Cambridge Analytica Scandal

In March of 2018, whistleblower Christopher Wylie (https://www.theguardian.com/news/2018/mar/17/cambridge-analytica-facebook-influence-us-election) revealed how 50 million profiles on Facebook were harvested for Cambridge Analytica in one of the worst data privacy breach in history.

Cambridge Analytica is a company owned by hedge fund billionaire Robert Mercer, and headed in 2014 by Trump’s key adviser Steve Bannon. “The company used personal information taken without authorization in early 2014 to build a system that could profile individual US voters, in order to target them with personalized political advertisements.”

Christopher Wylie, who worked with a Cambridge University academic to obtain the data, told the Observer: “We exploited Facebook to harvest millions of people’s profiles. And built models to exploit what we knew about them and target their inner demons. That was the basis the entire company was built on.”

Documents seen by the Observer, and confirmed by a Facebook statement, show that by late 2015 the company had found out that information had been harvested on an unprecedented scale. However, at the time it failed to alert users and took only limited steps to recover and secure the private information of more than 50 million individuals. (For those interested in the in depth article, the link is provided above as reference.)

This scandal changed the world and the political milieu. After this scandal broke out, the initial response of Mark Zuckerberg was a long and deafening silence. It was like a thief caught in the act but showed no remorse when faced with the evidence. While data breach is nothing new to the tech and IT world, only Facebook had endured such existential reckoning. That’s because what happened with Cambridge Analytica was not a matter of Facebook’s systems being infiltrated, but of Facebook’s systems working as designed: data was amassed, data was extracted, and data was exploited.

The scandal would rock the finances of FB, but as most people would have it, the rest of the world continued to move on. More than 90% of subscribers to Facebook don’t even know how deep the company and its CEO is muddled with conflicts of interest. (https://www.theguardian.com/technology/2019/mar/17/the-cambridge-analytica-scandal-changed-the-world-but-it-didnt-change-facebook).

The Philippines as the Petri dish

SCL (Strategic Communication Laboratories) is a parent company of Cambridge Analytica.

Christopher Wylie, yes, the same Christopher Wylie whistleblower for the Cambridge Analytica mess, revealed that the Philippines the perfect country to test the waters. Three conditions needed to be fulfilled to be qualified – (1) questionable rule of law, (2) high social media usage, and (3) corrupt politicians – were all a big check for the country.

Using the Philippines as the experimental lab animal (the PH had its national election a year before the US had theirs), 1.2 million users of Facebook in the Philippines were harvested for this purpose. (https://www.rappler.com/technology/social-media/239606-cambridge-analytica-philippines-online-propaganda-christopher-wylie/)

Wylie said the country’s high social media usage and lack of regulation makes it lucrative for a company like Cambridge Analytica to test out strategy before implementing them in Western countries with tighter regulations.

“The Philippines is one of those countries where you’ve got a lot of people online and a lot of people using social media. So when you’ve got that kind of set-up, it’s an ideal target.”

“A lot of the time when the company was looking to experiment with techniques, experiment with AI [artificial intelligence], experiment with ways of – whether it’s manipulating voter opinion or disseminating propaganda, what have you…it’s more difficult to do that in countries like the US or Britain, or Europe, where there is robust regulatory action, there’s robust law enforcement.”

“It creates an ideal petri dish type situation,” Wylie added, “where you can experiment on tactics and techniques that you wouldn’t be able to as easily in the West…and if it doesn’t work, it doesn’t matter, you won’t get caught. And if it does work, then you can then figure out how to port that into other countries.”

The association between Cambridge Analytica or even SCL has been denied by those in government. Of course they will deny it and the burden of proof will be to show that there was actually disruption in social media accounts. And Wylie is correct. In a country where regulations on data privacy came on board only AFTER Duterte came into power and where even tech and internet companies have poor oversight and laws (remember Duterte vetoing the law on registering all SIM cards regardless of being prepaid or postpaid?), the Philippines was perfect for being the Petri dish for this experiment. That lack in political will and transparency is direly lacking in this nation.

Pandemic trolling

The COVID19 pandemic was an opportune time for the exponential rise of the trolls.

People spent more time at home. In front of their screens. And social distancing made many lose sight of our social norms. The pandemic not only increased the proliferation of the trolls, but also worsened the behavior and widespread. They took their anger and foul language, as well as the incompetent arguments into social media. With unemployment at an all time high, this was the perfect storm to be use for both personal and political push. The escalating negative mood spurred trolling. And what a perfect timing it came.

The Philippine election was the ripe for the picking as the pandemic extended into the 2022 National Elections. Both sides were spewing disinformation left and right. The loudest voice in the room in the last year was social media. Evidently, the loudest voice will drown everyone else and that’s the mantra of trolls. The loudest. The most inflammatory. Or the most outrageous.

And while social media is like a double-edged sword (promotes good or bad), there is no ethics in social media. No one knows what is classified as “good” or “bad”. It’s a free for all brawl out there. And when logic and reasoning will not work, then anger and bullying tactics will. And the trolls have an army that gang up on you. Influencers of good are often bullied by peddlers of misinformation.

Fighting Back

Of course, we come to a crossroad where we need to fight back. Regain what social media was initially built for. But can we?

Engaging among trolls is depressing, divisive and mind-boggling crazy.

But it’s that one-liner that gets you likes and shares that makes you keep on posting.

They say that the best way to destroy a troll is to not engage one in the idiocy that it spews. Unfortunately, there are more gullible people out there that will simply believe everything said (or commented) by Tom, Dick and Harry.

Research has shown that the online environment leads to a lack of inhibitions when posting behavior and adds to a sense of empowerment through the cloak of semi anonymity that comes with online posting.

Here is an example of that cloak of anonymity and how a troll hides behind a veil of fantasy. It’s easy to spot them because if you scroll through their images, they have nothing to show. They also have either no friends or have friends (with most of them being inanimate objects or some photo grabbed from the internet) of the same breed. Their major interests are vast, wide, and senseless. They do not reveal a lot of themselves, but you can see them posting actively in many news threads or when there is political discourse or challenge presented to anything the troll is affiliated with. Their comments are senseless, baseless, and arguably the most outstanding feature is the bad grammar, spelling and syntax when they comment.

They say that the best way to avoid a troll is to not feed it. Don’t give it any importance and let their comments stand alone. By ignoring them they feel less important.

It’s also important not to share their stupidity.

Yep. Many of them have the most insane post or shout out, but they get a lot of clap backs. So it’s really a battle between the devil and the deep blue sea.

This blog article, for example, isn’t going to get that kind of share on social media for people to read. They don’t like long stories and they don’t like it when facts are presented to them.

The first part of this story didn’t get a lot of boost, but I promised myself and my friends, that I would write about the history of social media and the birth of the trolls.

Seriously, there actually is a solution to the conundrum.

First is to make your profile private. Lock it if you must and invite only REAL AUTHENTICATED FRIENDS. Not those that ask to be friends with you, but real friends. That’s your circle.

Second is to block each and every troll you encounter. Don’t engage. Just block. It’s actually useless reporting it even to Facebook. If Mark Zuckerberg could turn a blind eye for five days to a scandal, what makes you think AI will even mind your report?

Third is when the heat is too hot, just leave social media or find one where there is safe space. That way, we may be able to increase our life span.

And shorten the lifespan of the trolls.

The week in review and the data for 05.30.2022

The Health Agency reveals its weekly summary today with 1,317 new cases for the week of May 23-29, 2022. This is up from 1,214 cases for the week of May 16-22 (or an 8.8% increase in cases). There were 12 severe and critical cases and the good news was that there was no death added to the week (unlike the 6 deaths the week before).

Non ICU bed utilization is at 17.2% (which was 17.4% the week before) and ICU bed utilization is at 16.8%, up from the past week of 15.4%. Severe and critical admissions are slightly down 679 cases from 718 cases the past week.

Vaccine accomplishment is at 77% for the fully vaccinated and 77.29% for the A2 population.

With only a little less than 12,700 individuals tested on May 29, the positivity rate remains at 1.2%. The Health Agency announces 197 new cases with no added deaths today. The NCR owned almost half (49.2%) of today’s cases. Four LGUs in Mega Manila had double digits, led by Makati City with 20 cases, Manila with 16, Quezon City with 15 and Taguig with 10. Three LGUs had zero covid. They were: Pateros, Valenzuela and Navotas.

Outside of NCR, only one province had double digits – Rizal – with 11 cases.

East Asia rundown and the data for 05.29.2022

The Health Agency announces 200 new cases today with zero added deaths. While NCR owned 82 of these, it was Muntinlupa that saw a steep increase in cases with 10 for the day. Other LGUs with double digits in Mega Manila were: Makati 12, Manila 11, Quezon City 10. Two LGUs had zero covid – Pateros and Malabon.

Outside of NCR, two provinces had double digits. They were: Cavite 13 and Tarlac 12.

THE WEEK IN REVIEW

With the effective Rt up at 1.2 (+/-0.05) for the Philippines the 7-day average of cases tips almost 200 new daily cases. While this bump is a very small wave, it is important to note that 33-50% of the daily announced cases are from the epicenter – Mega Manila. The Rt in NCR alone stood at 1.25. It is also important to remember that the data announced by the Health Agency daily is based only on RT-PCR results.

Over-all, the cases in East Asia are on a decline, including Taiwan. Only Taiwan, Japan and South Korea continue to report more five digit numbers. Indonesia, Brunei, Hong Kong and the Philippines are seeing low triple digit numbers.

On a per capita basis (cases per million population), it is Indonesia that continued to have < 1 case/M. Both Taiwan and Singapore, which are seeing declining numbers continue to have four digits per million population.

The reproduction rate (Rt) is declining in many East Asian nations with the Philippines and Brunei seeing a rise > 1.0.