The weekend recovery haul for 04.18.2021 and the weekend summary

The Health Agency reports 10,098 new cases and in the weekly recovery haul, 72,607 recovered this week (based most likely on a time-based recovery status). This leaves 15.1 percent active cases or 141,089 who have still neither recovered or resulted in demise. This brings the case fatality ratio based on outcomes to 2.0 percent, with the DOH reporting 150 new deaths.

The positivity rate is slightly lower now at 17.2 percent but may not be an actual reflection of everyone getting tested by RT-PCR. Evidently, because of the increase in number of daily cases, there are those that may have shifted to using rapid antigen swabs when they are symptomatic. These reports are not generated or reported to the Health Agency.

The NCR continued to lead on a regional level with 46 percent of the total. CALABARZON was in second with 2,174 cases (22%) followed by Central Luzon with 960 (9.6%). Triple digits were seen in the following regions: Cagayan Valley, CAR, Central Visayas, Ilocos Region, Western Visayas, and Zamboanga Peninsula. There were 47 individuals with no location on a regional level.

In Mega Manila, Quezon City led the haul with 26 percent of the total cases. Manila had 513 new cases. Eleven other cities had more than 100 cases. Thirteen of the 17 LGUs in NCR were among the top twenty cities with most cases for the day.

On a provincial level, the provinces of Cavite, Rizal, Batangas, Bulacan and Laguna were the top five. Of these provinces, 4 of the provinces were from Region IVA (CALABARZON).

With a 7-day moving average of 10,406 new daily cases for the country, the Philippines had 72,842 total cases for the week April 11-17, 2021, and 1,071 new deaths for the same week (7-day average of 153 deaths/day).

While it is a fact that the world is seeing a rise in new cases, the infographic below provides an overview of the current situation in select Asian countries, with Indonesia seeing declining trends compared to the rest. The daily new confirmed COVID-19 deaths per million population has also astoundingly increased for the Philippines making the case for using deaths/cases an implausible estimation for case fatality ration.

Testing capacity among the same select Asian countries above show that while the Philippines is testing more people per 1,000 population, the share of the daily COVID-19 tests that are positive are highest for the country with a current positivity rate averaging 20 percent (1 in every 5 tested will likely test positive).

The Philippine Genome Center has released its latest biosurveillance report with 752 samples sequenced nationally. Notice the significant increase in B.1.351 (South African variant) compared to the UK (B.1.1.1.7) and the P.1 (Brazil). Based on the report, where 6,423 cumulative samples were sequenced nationwide, 21 percent were attributed to variants of concern, with more than half from the B.1.351 variant.

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